NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	7.8 [235]		MVP	Dahntay Jones (IND): +22.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	1.6 [588]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -22.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.16	0.00	3	71%	0.22	0	0.00	8	87%	0.11
David West	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
A.J. Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.01	15	59%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	7	39%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	7	25%	-0.16	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Paul George	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.22	-0.16	-0.08	-0.01	13	27%	-0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	0.00	8	62%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.09	0.00	4	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	9	52%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.05
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	15	58%	0.21	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	1	25%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	34.4	15.4	30.5	2.3	39.5	148.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +57.7%

MEM +22.0%

IND -24.5%

MEM +1.1%

IND -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.6	98.9	105.4	102.8
season	15.7	15.6		104.2	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	15.2	14.4	17.7	15.8
MEM	15.8	14.2	14.4	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	26	27	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-12	18	16.2	15.6	0.63	14.8	15.4	-0.59
A.J. Price	16	17	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-8	10	18.4	15.2	3.14	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Tyler Hansbrough	36	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-7	8	16.9	15.1	1.82	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Dahntay Jones	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.6	0.45	15.7	14.9	0.85
Jeff Foster	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	15.7	15.8	-0.17	13.6	15.8	-2.24
Roy Hibbert	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.6	16.1	-0.54	15.8	14.1	1.76
David West	64	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	2	-10	15.4	16.7	-1.28	15.5	14.6	0.87
Danny Granger	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	15.7	15.9	-0.26	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Paul George	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	3	-12	15.5	16.4	-0.84	15.4	14.6	0.84
Darren Collison	77	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	15.2	18.4	-3.14	15.4	14.3	1.10

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	69	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-6	18	16.1	12.5	3.57	16.7	13.2	3.46
Rudy Gay	71	71	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-5	16	15.7	13.5	2.22	16.3	14.1	2.20
Marc Gasol	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	1	4	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.3	17.2	-1.93
Tony Allen	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	3	0	14.0	16.5	-2.50	15.2	16.4	-1.13
Jeremy Pargo	12	11	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	1	4	16.2	15.0	1.21	18.3	15.4	2.83
Mike Conley	70	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	7	-8	15.5	14.3	1.18	15.5	16.6	-1.11
O.J. Mayo	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	2	2	14.7	15.7	-1.01	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Hamed Haddadi	11	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	6	-6	14.5	15.3	-0.84	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Quincy Pondexter	32	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	10	-14	15.0	15.3	-0.25	14.7	16.4	-1.67
Dante Cunningham	36	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	11	-16	13.7	16.1	-2.45	15.3	16.1	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.58,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.92,1	92.7%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	92.0%
SAC 90, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.54,0.44,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.92,1	91.6%