inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Brooklyn Nets 89 Excitement5.8 [613] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +24.8%
Miami Heat 102 Comeback4.1 [662] LVPDeron Williams (BKN): -20.5%


Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andray Blatche0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.011265%0.151-0.04757%-0.02
CJ Watson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.030.01571%0.0900.004100%0.01
Kris Humphries0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.01855%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Josh Childress0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mirza Teletovic0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyshawn Taylor0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.03-0.011148%0.032-0.061100%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.001150%-0.014-0.10450%-0.05
Joe Johnson-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.070.001440%-0.074-0.1120%-0.05
Deron Williams-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.070.011137%-0.074-0.14560%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.240.050.052074%0.2500.00683%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.011558%0.162-0.03667%-0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.050.05787%0.121-0.021100%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.010.021055%0.0100.00250%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrel Harris00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.00844%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.00744%-0.013-0.094100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.532.315.526.02.635.2139.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +17.4%
MIA +15.8%
BKN -17.1%
MIA +32.6%
MIA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBKNMIANBABKNMIANBA
this game17.414.815.498.9114.6104.1
season16.515.7106.5110.2
opponent15.915.4102.4104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BKN15.618.216.419.617.4
MIA16.512.314.915.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mirza Teletovic120.00-0.500.500.000-131321.017.33.6719.514.74.81
Tyshawn Taylor220.00-0.500.500.03-1-121113.017.5-4.4719.514.74.81
Josh Childress23-0.03-0.470.450.06-3-10713.017.5-4.4717.014.72.28
Keith Bogans2724-0.05-0.450.390.01-2-11918.716.81.9114.015.1-1.09
Reggie Evans2927-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-9517.117.5-0.3913.615.3-1.73
Andray Blatche6259-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-141517.616.80.8415.713.12.61
Kris Humphries4546-0.21-0.290.07-0.10-4-9517.617.10.4714.015.6-1.61
CJ Watson2727-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-9-4-518.117.01.0615.914.31.62
Joe Johnson6566-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.16-7-6-117.516.90.6214.715.0-0.21
Gerald Wallace7171-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-10-3-716.919.1-2.1414.814.80.03
Deron Williams7474-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.10-11-2-916.720.3-3.5814.914.30.64
Jerry Stackhouse4544-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.06-152-1717.517.20.2914.215.4-1.13

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen50490.65-0.150.790.0620-72714.714.9-0.2218.016.71.30
Udonis Haslem38400.58-0.080.670.0817-42114.515.0-0.5718.316.61.63
Norris Cole54540.450.050.390.061301314.615.1-0.5718.515.72.79
LeBron James69690.420.080.330.0114-11515.313.12.1316.620.0-3.37
Dwyane Wade64670.340.160.18-0.011211114.216.3-2.0616.819.1-2.37
Mike Miller36360.180.32-0.130.10310-714.914.80.1118.616.62.03
Mario Chalmers34360.030.47-0.440.09-215-1715.214.50.7115.718.5-2.79
Chris Bosh57580.000.50-0.500.15-518-2314.615.1-0.4617.816.51.34
James Jones210.000.50-0.500.00013-1319.514.74.8121.017.33.67
Dexter Pittman210.000.50-0.500.00013-1319.514.74.8121.017.33.67
Terrel Harris210.000.50-0.500.00013-1319.514.74.8121.017.33.67
Joel Anthony1011-0.010.51-0.52-0.01013-1311.815.2-3.3815.817.6-1.76
Rashard Lewis2727-0.140.64-0.780.07-720-2715.814.41.4616.017.9-1.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 105, DAL 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.4%
HOU 80, TOR 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.3%
BOS 99, CLE 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.89,1,1,1,192.9%