NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	80		Excitement	5.2 [737]		MVP	Kris Humphries (TOR): +18.3%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	5.3 [153]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -17.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	5	90%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	58%	0.12	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	21	44%	0.07	4	-0.09	10	80%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.03
Mike James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.01	9	70%	0.22	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	8	69%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	17	49%	0.08	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	55%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	54%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	9	15%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	26.4	17.8	27.5	1.8	33.8	134.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +8.3%

TOR +7.9%

TOR +7.6%

TOR +23.7%

TOR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	17.7	16.8	15.4	96.4	110.7	105.7
season	16.2	15.6		104.6	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.1	18.8	18.9	14.5	17.7
TOR	16.9	14.8	16.3	19.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	18	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-16	19	16.4	18.1	-1.65	20.4	15.7	4.66
Luis Scola	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-14	15	17.4	17.9	-0.52	17.3	16.5	0.79
Mike James	27	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-13	13	17.3	17.9	-0.65	17.8	16.2	1.57
Shane Battier	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	18.1	17.1	0.92	16.5	17.3	-0.84
Carl Landry	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-7	1	17.0	17.9	-0.94	14.7	17.4	-2.69
Charles Hayes	41	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	19.1	16.4	2.64	17.4	16.1	1.31
Bonzi Wells	39	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	16.0	19.3	-3.32	17.2	16.3	0.85
Yao Ming	67	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	18.0	16.5	1.53	16.7	17.1	-0.37
Steve Francis	56	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	0	-13	17.9	17.3	0.65	16.2	17.8	-1.57
Tracy McGrady	65	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	3	-19	18.1	16.4	1.65	15.7	20.4	-4.66

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	40	39	0.77	-0.27	1.04	-0.11	30	-17	47	16.0	17.4	-1.36	17.8	17.7	0.16
Kris Humphries	42	41	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	3	7	16.1	17.5	-1.38	16.8	18.6	-1.79
Jose Calderon	42	40	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	3	7	16.6	16.9	-0.29	17.3	18.2	-0.89
Rasho Nesterovic	53	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	2	9	16.2	17.8	-1.66	18.7	16.2	2.52
Anthony Parker	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	7	-1	15.6	18.0	-2.36	18.7	16.6	2.11
Chris Bosh	71	72	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	17.5	12.5	5.00	17.8	17.5	0.32
Jason Kapono	38	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	4	5	17.9	15.8	2.07	17.4	18.0	-0.66
T.J. Ford	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	8	-3	16.7	16.8	-0.02	18.9	16.6	2.35
Maceo Baston	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	20.0	16.7	3.32	10.0	17.9	-7.93
Juan Dixon	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	20.0	16.7	3.32	7.7	18.1	-10.45
Jamario Moon	34	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	24	-35	17.2	16.5	0.70	17.6	17.9	-0.30
Joey Graham	12	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	21	-29	18.5	16.5	2.03	15.6	18.1	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 89, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
LAC 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
PHI 76, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%