NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	84		Excitement	3.1 [1193]		MVP	Kenneth Faried (DEN): +13.1%
Denver Nuggets	102		Comeback	1.3 [1221]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -14.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Roberts	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	12	63%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	10	25%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.03	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	8	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	13	70%	0.16	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	42%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	10	81%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.6	28.0	15.6	26.6	2.5	27.2	122.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +31.3%

DEN +11.4%

DEN +3.7%

DEN +4.9%

NOH -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DEN	NBA	NOH	DEN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.1	15.4	93.3	112.1	104.1
season	16.3	14.4		103.9	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.9	16.2	17.0	16.1	16.8
DEN	18.1	13.8	14.3	14.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	21	21	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-23	28	15.8	17.1	-1.31	16.3	14.7	1.65
Lance Thomas	27	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-27	36	15.9	17.1	-1.20	15.9	14.7	1.14
Austin Rivers	64	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-18	18	16.3	17.9	-1.63	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Darius Miller	53	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-19	20	16.3	17.5	-1.18	13.6	17.3	-3.71
Brian Roberts	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-24	30	15.7	17.8	-2.07	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Jason Smith	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-7	-4	16.2	17.2	-0.98	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Robin Lopez	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-2	-14	17.1	16.4	0.77	15.4	14.6	0.83
Greivis Vasquez	45	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.29	-24	6	-30	17.8	15.7	2.07	15.2	14.9	0.35
Roger Mason Jr.	26	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	0	-18	17.9	16.3	1.63	16.1	14.7	1.42
Ryan Anderson	59	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.12	-21	3	-24	17.4	15.5	1.86	14.7	15.7	-0.96
Al-Farouq Aminu	25	26	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.12	-21	3	-24	18.2	16.2	1.98	17.2	14.2	2.98

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	38	37	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.43	34	-16	50	15.5	14.8	0.75	18.1	15.8	2.32
Ty Lawson	53	53	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.18	24	-6	30	15.0	15.1	-0.11	17.6	15.5	2.08
Andre Iguodala	57	57	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.34	29	-11	40	15.8	13.9	1.89	17.2	16.1	1.11
Kenneth Faried	49	49	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.18	23	-5	28	15.8	14.2	1.54	17.5	15.9	1.68
Danilo Gallinari	50	49	0.34	0.17	0.17	-0.16	17	1	16	15.5	14.5	0.96	16.9	16.6	0.33
Corey Brewer	55	54	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	20	-22	14.2	16.4	-2.19	15.9	18.0	-2.10
Jordan Hamilton	24	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	22	-26	14.5	15.3	-0.71	16.1	17.0	-0.85
Evan Fournier	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	14.8	15.1	-0.33	16.4	16.9	-0.47
Anthony Randolph	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	25	-32	15.4	15.0	0.37	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Andre Miller	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	17	-16	14.3	15.7	-1.45	15.7	17.7	-2.00
Timofey Mozgov	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.35	-12	30	-42	15.2	15.0	0.20	16.5	16.9	-0.40
JaVale McGee	23	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	22	-26	14.2	15.4	-1.19	14.9	17.4	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 97, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAC 86, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHI 83, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%