NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	8.8 [146]		MVP	Carl Landry (GSW): +42.4%
Phoenix Suns	85		Comeback	6.8 [151]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -41.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.42	0.09	0.34	-0.00	9	77%	0.48	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.08	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
David Lee	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	16	18%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.26,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.23,-0.35,-0.35,-0.42	-0.25	-0.17	0.00	14	16%	-0.21	4	-0.20	3	33%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.13	-0.00	9	56%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	9	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	12	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.04
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	40%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	11	42%	-0.14	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	29.6	15.5	29.4	2.4	36.5	141.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +38.4%

PHX -1.4%

GSW +19.9%

PHX -16.4%

GSW +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	14.8	15.4	92.6	90.4	104.1
season	14.6	15.2		104.6	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.3	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.1	14.6	16.1	16.9	15.9
PHX	13.9	14.2	13.9	17.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-6	14	15.6	16.4	-0.82	15.6	13.5	2.05
Stephen Curry	57	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.70	-2	4	-6	16.4	15.1	1.32	15.1	14.3	0.77
Carl Landry	42	43	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-11	24	16.0	15.8	0.25	16.0	13.7	2.38
David Lee	77	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-1	4	16.2	14.6	1.58	15.1	13.5	1.53
Brandon Rush	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	-1	4	15.0	16.8	-1.89	14.1	15.4	-1.33
Klay Thompson	63	64	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.43	-10	12	-22	16.7	14.1	2.62	15.0	14.2	0.77
Richard Jefferson	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	-5	12	13.6	16.9	-3.32	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Harrison Barnes	28	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	4	-6	17.5	15.2	2.30	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Festus Ezeli	27	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	2	-2	15.2	16.2	-0.98	13.7	15.2	-1.48
Andrew Bogut	40	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	9	-16	15.6	16.1	-0.54	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Draymond Green	2	3	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	17.5	15.8	1.65	12.0	14.8	-2.85

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	32	32	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	0	-2	14.5	14.9	-0.39	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Michael Beasley	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	4	-10	14.0	15.4	-1.36	16.4	15.4	0.95
Sebastian Telfair	23	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	6	-14	15.9	14.4	1.53	14.6	16.2	-1.63
Jermaine O'Neal	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	10	-22	16.0	14.2	1.80	14.2	16.5	-2.28
Marcin Gortat	66	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.50	9	-11	20	14.4	15.6	-1.21	16.7	13.7	3.01
Jared Dudley	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.62	13	-15	28	14.0	16.8	-2.73	16.5	14.2	2.35
PJ Tucker	42	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-7	12	16.3	13.5	2.72	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Shannon Brown	32	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	13	-28	15.3	14.5	0.89	14.0	16.9	-2.90
Goran Dragic	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.65	6	-8	14	14.2	16.5	-2.22	16.2	14.6	1.63
Luis Scola	62	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.59	0	-2	2	14.9	14.5	0.39	16.0	15.6	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.45,0.31,0	91.4%
IND 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	90.0%
SAS 93, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.29,0	89.8%