NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	9.8 [64]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +27.2%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	7.6 [255]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -39.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.14	-0.02	19	55%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	17	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Justin Harper	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.08	-0.03	17	46%	0.05	3	-0.15	3	33%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.2,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	0.02	-0.39	0.02	19	57%	-0.21	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	0.00	11	73%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	5	82%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.08	0.03	22	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.06
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	80%	0.25	6	-0.30	1	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.09	0.05	14	58%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	25.1	18.6	27.2	3.5	30.4	1.7	14.5	148.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.1%

UTA +23.3%

ORL -15.5%

UTA +8.1%

UTA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	17.1	16.2	15.6	112.6	121.9	102.8
season	16.2	15.8		102.8	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.7	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	16.0	15.7	16.6	20.9	15.4	17.1
UTA	18.3	15.6	16.9	14.4	16.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	10	10	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.11	2	-12	14	19.7	16.7	2.96	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Jason Richardson	68	70	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-20	30	18.1	14.4	3.70	16.8	14.9	1.87
Daniel Orton	21	21	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-14	18	16.5	17.2	-0.68	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Chris Duhon	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-7	4	16.0	17.3	-1.28	16.4	16.2	0.22
Glen Davis	80	81	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-16	22	17.4	15.3	2.04	16.7	14.1	2.59
JJ Redick	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	0	-10	15.5	19.6	-4.12	16.3	16.1	0.20
Justin Harper	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	1	-12	16.2	17.2	-0.95	16.2	16.3	-0.04
Jameer Nelson	68	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	-1	-8	16.9	17.4	-0.44	16.2	16.3	-0.08
Ryan Anderson	76	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.16	-19	9	-28	17.0	17.3	-0.26	16.0	17.2	-1.20
Quentin Richardson	63	64	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.29	-20	10	-30	17.4	16.4	0.97	15.6	17.5	-1.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	67	65	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.25	21	-11	32	15.4	18.2	-2.85	17.5	16.1	1.44
Paul Millsap	84	82	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.16	23	-13	36	16.0	18.0	-2.00	17.1	16.6	0.51
Al Jefferson	74	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	5	0	16.2	16.4	-0.15	16.8	17.9	-1.08
Devin Harris	63	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	11	-12	16.5	15.8	0.75	17.1	17.0	0.04
Alec Burks	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	1	8	16.2	16.3	-0.15	16.4	17.5	-1.01
Gordon Hayward	67	67	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	16	-22	16.4	15.8	0.65	17.5	16.0	1.54
Jamaal Tinsley	33	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.24	11	-1	12	15.8	16.5	-0.75	17.0	17.1	-0.04
Enes Kanter	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.21	5	5	0	16.4	16.2	0.15	17.9	16.8	1.08
DeMarre Carroll	32	33	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.03	-17	27	-44	18.4	15.2	3.23	15.8	17.7	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.54,0.45,0.78,0.84,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.32,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	89.5%
POR 113, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.78,0.98,1	89.2%
NYK 124, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,1	88.9%