NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	1.5 [1068]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +5.9%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	1.1 [1022]		LVP	Austin Daye (DET): -6.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Macklin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Walker Russell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	75%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.05	13	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Will Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	58%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	5	70%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	9	28%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	11	15%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.05	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	10	68%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	60%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.07	4	87%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	27.4	14.0	24.2	1.6	26.3	121.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.2%

ATL +5.4%

ATL +0.1%

ATL +9.8%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	13.4	15.6	84.8	117.2	102.8
season	16.3	15.7		99.5	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		99.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.3	15.1	18.1	12.4	15.7
ATL	14.0	11.6	11.9	16.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walker Russell	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-35	38	12.5	16.9	-4.42	13.8	13.3	0.55
Jonas Jerebko	41	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-28	24	14.0	16.8	-2.84	13.6	13.3	0.23
Jason Maxiell	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	-20	8	19.0	14.4	4.58	13.4	13.4	0.03
Ben Gordon	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.36	-19	-13	-6	14.6	16.1	-1.53	13.5	13.4	0.04
Vernon Macklin	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-24	16	13.3	18.1	-4.81	13.9	12.9	1.00
Charlie Villanueva	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-16	0	14.2	16.8	-2.58	13.5	13.4	0.13
Damien Wilkins	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-25	18	13.7	17.1	-3.39	14.0	13.0	0.94
Rodney Stuckey	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-19	6	18.6	13.7	4.88	13.7	13.3	0.40
Will Bynum	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.35	-21	-11	-10	15.2	15.9	-0.73	12.9	13.7	-0.82
Austin Daye	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-13	-6	16.9	13.8	3.09	13.4	13.4	-0.00
Brandon Knight	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.31	-20	-12	-8	16.9	14.1	2.81	12.8	14.2	-1.45
Greg Monroe	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.41	-24	-8	-16	18.1	13.3	4.81	12.9	13.9	-1.00

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	43	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.28	21	11	10	13.4	13.4	-0.01	17.7	14.0	3.67
Ivan Johnson	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.32	22	10	12	13.4	13.5	-0.13	14.3	19.0	-4.71
Tracy McGrady	36	36	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.49	27	5	22	13.0	13.7	-0.67	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Marvin Williams	39	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.29	20	12	8	13.2	13.5	-0.32	15.4	15.8	-0.47
Jeff Teague	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	15	2	13.7	13.3	0.40	18.3	14.0	4.32
Jannero Pargo	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	17	-2	13.3	13.7	-0.40	14.0	18.3	-4.32
Kirk Hinrich	32	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	18	-4	13.3	13.5	-0.17	18.8	14.2	4.60
Josh Smith	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	21	-10	13.7	13.3	0.40	18.4	14.0	4.42
Jason Collins	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	22	-12	13.5	13.4	0.13	19.0	14.3	4.71
Willie Green	56	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	21	-10	13.4	13.4	0.01	14.0	17.7	-3.67
Jerry Stackhouse	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	35	-38	13.8	13.3	0.55	12.5	16.9	-4.42
Vladimir Radmanovic	26	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	37	-42	13.7	13.3	0.31	12.0	17.0	-5.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	98.3%
NOH 86, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
WAS 120, DAL 137	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%