NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	120		Excitement	2.8 [978]		MVP	Gary Neal (SAS): +8.9%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.2 [1029]		LVP	Dominic McGuire (GSW): -6.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	10	71%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
James Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.03	5	-0.03	12	75%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	38%	-0.03	2	-0.00	9	89%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	22	60%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.16	0.00	0.15	20	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Chris Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	13	39%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mickell Gladness	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	8	11%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.6	28.6	17.4	28.4	2.4	29.4	136.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +9.2%

SAS +9.3%

SAS +17.8%

SAS +11.1%

SAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	13.6	15.6	117.6	97.1	102.8
season	15.3	15.2		109.1	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.1	16.0	13.9	15.6	14.6
GSW	13.6	14.0	14.9	12.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	25	24	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.25	20	1	19	13.4	15.0	-1.56	14.2	13.4	0.83
Manu Ginobili	31	32	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	6	9	14.3	14.7	-0.42	13.7	13.6	0.06
Tony Parker	31	31	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.22	18	3	15	14.2	14.8	-0.56	14.2	13.4	0.83
Kawhi Leonard	36	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	10	1	14.4	14.7	-0.35	14.7	13.1	1.59
Danny Green	39	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.22	16	5	11	15.9	13.8	2.16	14.1	13.3	0.77
DeJuan Blair	44	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	17	-13	13.2	15.7	-2.49	14.3	13.1	1.14
Tiago Splitter	44	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	6	9	15.1	14.3	0.79	13.7	13.6	0.12
Gary Neal	51	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	6	9	15.9	13.4	2.49	13.0	14.2	-1.22
Stephen Jackson	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	27	-33	13.9	15.3	-1.44	13.1	14.0	-0.89
Boris Diaw	48	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.36	-7	28	-35	14.3	14.9	-0.54	13.1	14.1	-0.94
James Anderson	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	14	-7	14.4	14.8	-0.42	13.6	13.6	-0.00
Patty Mills	38	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	30	-39	14.0	15.0	-0.98	12.5	14.3	-1.78
Matt Bonner	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.19	6	15	-9	16.6	13.6	2.99	13.6	13.6	0.03

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wright	36	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-29	37	12.6	14.2	-1.56	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Mikki Moore	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.13	-5	-16	11	12.9	13.8	-0.88	14.9	14.5	0.40
Charles Jenkins	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-16	11	13.4	13.9	-0.51	14.8	14.4	0.45
Dominic McGuire	32	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-15	9	13.6	13.6	-0.03	15.7	14.2	1.53
Nate Robinson	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-17	13	12.8	15.0	-2.21	14.8	14.3	0.44
Mickell Gladness	28	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-4	-13	14.4	13.3	1.02	14.7	14.6	0.16
Dorell Wright	70	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-6	-9	14.2	12.3	1.95	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Brandon Rush	50	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.31	-23	2	-25	13.8	13.4	0.44	14.5	14.7	-0.26
Jeremy Tyler	72	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-7	-7	14.1	12.5	1.58	13.7	16.7	-2.97
Klay Thompson	89	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	3	-27	13.7	13.1	0.62	15.0	12.0	3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
POR 98, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
LAL 107, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%