NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	2.3 [1256]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +8.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	89		Comeback	1.0 [1190]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -9.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.05	10	82%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	92%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	5	92%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	18	45%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	6	17%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	13	52%	0.04	5	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	71%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.06	20	49%	-0.03	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	11	45%	-0.02	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.07	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.05	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.0	16.0	23.0	2.5	25.5	124.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.2%

LAL +4.9%

LAL +3.2%

LAL +5.3%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	15.5	108.1	89.0	106.4
season	14.9	14.9		110.6	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	15.2	16.1	14.8	15.1
OKC	15.8	14.2	11.2	14.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	61	63	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.16	22	-4	26	14.6	15.9	-1.28	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Lamar Odom	49	51	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-3	24	14.4	15.8	-1.37	14.5	13.2	1.27
Trevor Ariza	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.06	16	2	14	14.5	16.0	-1.50	14.0	13.7	0.28
Derek Fisher	44	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	2	14	14.2	15.8	-1.54	14.4	13.4	1.01
Pau Gasol	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	10	-2	15.8	13.4	2.36	13.5	14.9	-1.40
DJ Mbenga	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	8	2	13.4	15.8	-2.36	14.9	13.5	1.40
Jordan Farmar	47	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	14	-10	15.9	14.3	1.63	13.9	13.8	0.08
Luke Walton	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	16	-14	16.0	14.6	1.47	14.4	13.6	0.77
Josh Powell	44	43	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	19	-20	16.0	14.4	1.61	13.2	14.4	-1.16
Sasha Vujacic	31	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	25	-32	16.6	14.4	2.18	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Shannon Brown	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.8	15.3	-1.51	13.3	14.0	-0.71
Adam Morrison	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	14.8	15.1	-0.30	11.1	14.2	-3.08

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	21	21	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-24	30	12.7	14.2	-1.52	15.8	14.9	0.86
Kyle Weaver	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-17	16	13.9	13.8	0.11	15.9	14.5	1.38
Chucky Atkins	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-13	8	12.9	14.3	-1.41	15.9	14.7	1.17
Nick Collison	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-10	2	14.2	13.4	0.80	15.6	14.2	1.46
Nenad Krstic	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-7	-4	13.7	14.1	-0.35	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Russell Westbrook	63	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	14.1	13.5	0.52	15.1	15.0	0.12
Thabo Sefolosha	69	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-5	-8	13.6	14.5	-0.89	14.2	16.9	-2.65
Jeff Green	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	5	-28	14.2	13.1	1.07	14.8	15.8	-1.03
Kevin Durant	83	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.17	-24	6	-30	14.2	12.2	1.97	15.1	14.8	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
LAL 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
MIN 113, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%