NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	4.9 [676]		MVP	Ivan Johnson (ATL): +16.5%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	1.6 [694]		LVP	Gary Forbes (TOR): -18.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivan Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	13	70%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	11	63%	0.15	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.06	13	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	15	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	67%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	14	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Alabi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	8	50%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	11	18%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	12	32%	-0.10	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	31.3	15.5	25.2	1.8	28.2	130.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.0%

ATL +5.2%

ATL +0.2%

ATL +21.5%

ATL +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.2	15.6	118.5	93.5	102.8
season	15.7	16.5		102.5	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		102.9	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	13.6	13.8	17.8	15.0
TOR	16.3	15.2	16.8	16.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	68	68	0.59	-0.10	0.69	-0.17	26	-4	30	14.7	15.8	-1.13	16.8	14.6	2.20
Josh Smith	61	62	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.05	22	0	22	14.9	15.1	-0.26	17.3	13.9	3.35
Joe Johnson	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	7	8	15.4	13.5	1.85	16.9	14.3	2.53
Marvin Williams	66	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.19	18	4	14	14.9	15.2	-0.28	15.5	18.0	-2.45
Kirk Hinrich	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	18	-14	15.4	14.4	1.06	17.8	14.3	3.52
Jason Collins	21	20	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	16	-10	15.0	14.9	0.12	18.8	15.5	3.35
Ivan Johnson	55	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	16	-10	15.0	14.9	0.11	14.7	18.4	-3.62
Tracy McGrady	42	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	12	-2	14.9	15.0	-0.10	14.6	17.6	-2.91
Jannero Pargo	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	19	-16	13.2	15.2	-1.96	12.3	16.8	-4.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	15	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	22	-22	14.5	15.0	-0.51	13.4	16.8	-3.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Uzoh	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-10	-2	16.4	15.8	0.55	15.6	13.6	1.98
Aaron Gray	20	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-16	10	18.8	15.5	3.35	15.0	14.9	0.12
Ed Davis	61	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-10	-2	15.0	18.4	-3.41	15.4	14.2	1.14
Amir Johnson	44	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-9	-4	17.7	14.8	2.82	14.8	15.1	-0.35
DeMar DeRozan	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-12	2	16.9	14.2	2.70	15.6	13.0	2.67
Gary Forbes	50	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-9	-4	14.9	17.7	-2.84	13.7	16.3	-2.65
Solomon Alabi	50	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-4	-14	15.3	17.2	-1.84	13.8	16.2	-2.44
Alan Anderson	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-12	2	17.0	15.4	1.64	15.5	14.4	1.13
James Johnson	64	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	-6	-10	15.6	17.4	-1.85	14.7	15.5	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, NJN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.48,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	95.4%
POR 120, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
CHA 121, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%