NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	121		Excitement	5.1 [784]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +13.6%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.8 [400]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (GSW): -8.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	22	62%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.02	7	93%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	64%	0.10	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.02	0.07	16	62%	0.12	3	-0.10	16	81%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ronald Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.03
Stephen Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	16	61%	0.12	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	72%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Chris Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.11	-0.03	0.11	15	65%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	23	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	60%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	0%	-0.07
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	6	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	34.2	15.5	27.5	2.5	30.2	135.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +35.8%

CHA +4.3%

CHA +22.4%

GSW -17.1%

CHA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	12.6	15.3	121.0	110.0	106.0
season	16.2	13.4		103.0	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.4		110.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	15.1	14.0	20.2	16.2
GSW	13.4	12.6	13.1	11.1	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	54	54	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-9	29	15.7	16.8	-1.10	13.1	12.0	1.01
Stephen Jackson	95	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-5	21	16.1	18.6	-2.52	12.7	9.8	2.94
D.J. Augustin	51	50	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-1	13	17.4	15.0	2.37	11.9	13.3	-1.46
Gerald Wallace	91	92	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	0	11	16.4	14.8	1.57	12.7	11.0	1.73
Boris Diaw	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.17	14	-3	17	16.5	15.6	0.86	13.2	11.3	1.97
Raymond Felton	66	67	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	13	-15	15.7	17.1	-1.42	12.5	12.8	-0.39
Nazr Mohammed	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	5	1	13.9	17.5	-3.59	13.5	12.1	1.42
Derrick Brown	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.36	-11	22	-33	17.6	15.8	1.80	9.7	13.3	-3.55
Gerald Henderson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	18.6	16.1	2.52	9.8	12.7	-2.94
Stephen Graham	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	17	-23	17.9	15.9	1.92	11.6	12.7	-1.12

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	53	53	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-17	23	12.5	12.7	-0.29	17.4	14.9	2.44
Chris Hunter	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	9.8	12.7	-2.94	18.6	16.1	2.52
Andris Biedrins	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-5	-1	13.5	12.1	1.42	13.9	17.5	-3.59
Vladimir Radmanovic	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-6	1	11.9	13.0	-1.15	17.6	15.4	2.20
CJ Watson	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-10	9	10.9	13.4	-2.48	17.7	15.5	2.13
Ronny Turiaf	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-5	-1	13.5	12.1	1.38	17.0	15.7	1.30
Cartier Martin	22	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-8	5	11.7	12.8	-1.11	15.8	16.3	-0.57
Devean George	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	0	-11	12.6	12.6	0.07	15.9	16.4	-0.54
Stephen Curry	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-11	11	12.8	11.4	1.37	16.3	15.8	0.47
Monta Ellis	84	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	10	-31	13.0	10.4	2.64	15.6	19.5	-3.92
Corey Maggette	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	2	-15	12.6	12.6	0.00	15.5	17.6	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
ATL 109, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DAL 104, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%