NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	8.1 [191]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): +43.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	3.6 [513]		LVP	Devin Harris (UTA): -21.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	63%	0.13	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.08
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.02	15	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11
DeMarre Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Ahearn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.05
Devin Harris	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.03	-0.17	0.02	16	53%	-0.02	4	-0.20	6	67%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.43	0.43	0.10	0.33	-0.00	11	71%	0.50	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.07
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.26,0.21,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	16	62%	0.26	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.04	0.02	10	61%	0.06	1	-0.06	8	62%	-0.06
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	13	57%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	6	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.6	25.1	15.8	24.1	2.5	39.2	132.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.1%

MEM +10.6%

UTA -15.1%

MEM +9.3%

UTA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	17.1	14.5	15.6	107.7	113.2	102.8
season	15.8	15.6		104.0	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		100.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	16.7	18.4	17.2	17.1
MEM	15.7	14.6	15.9	12.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Ahearn	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-5	5	13.2	17.6	-4.47	16.3	14.3	1.97
DeMarre Carroll	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-4	3	17.9	16.5	1.45	15.3	13.9	1.42
Enes Kanter	22	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	15.5	17.6	-2.18	13.9	14.7	-0.89
Alec Burks	30	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	15.7	17.8	-2.10	12.3	15.5	-3.14
Paul Millsap	69	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-5	5	17.8	15.0	2.72	15.0	13.0	1.94
Devin Harris	68	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-7	9	17.5	16.1	1.37	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Jamaal Tinsley	23	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	2	-9	16.1	17.5	-1.37	14.6	14.5	0.13
Al Jefferson	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-5	5	17.6	15.5	2.18	14.7	13.9	0.89
Derrick Favors	55	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	0	-5	16.7	17.8	-1.15	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Gordon Hayward	68	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.43	-5	0	-5	17.6	15.7	1.89	14.9	13.5	1.31

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	72	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-3	11	15.2	12.2	2.94	17.5	15.8	1.68
Zach Randolph	54	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-1	7	15.4	13.4	2.00	17.0	17.2	-0.23
O.J. Mayo	48	47	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	13.8	15.4	-1.62	16.2	18.1	-1.86
Mike Conley	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	7	-9	15.2	12.7	2.49	17.1	17.1	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	13	13	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	-1	7	11.0	15.1	-4.13	20.6	16.5	4.09
Quincy Pondexter	13	14	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	1	3	13.6	14.7	-1.08	16.1	17.3	-1.23
Gilbert Arenas	24	25	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	-2	9	12.7	15.2	-2.49	17.1	17.1	0.01
Rudy Gay	76	75	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	6	-7	14.8	13.0	1.84	17.4	15.6	1.80
Tony Allen	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	15.4	13.8	1.62	18.1	16.2	1.86
Hamed Haddadi	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	6	-7	9.5	14.9	-5.39	17.5	17.1	0.42
Marreese Speights	39	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	12	-19	13.9	15.0	-1.03	15.1	18.6	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	92.1%
DET 79, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.98,1	92.0%
SAS 80, LAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	91.8%