NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	4.4 [733]		MVP	Louis Williams (PHI): +8.4%
Toronto Raptors	75		Comeback	1.4 [709]		LVP	James Johnson (TOR): -16.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	12	63%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	45%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Justin Dentmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Alabi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	11	23%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	26.4	16.4	27.3	1.8	25.1	122.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.9%

TOR -6.6%

TOR -2.3%

PHI +8.6%

TOR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	18.0	15.6	109.4	88.2	102.8
season	15.6	16.5		101.0	98.9
opponent	15.2	16.1		102.9	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	16.9	15.8	14.0	15.9
TOR	17.2	18.2	18.5	18.1	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.16	23	-5	28	16.4	14.3	2.05	19.0	14.9	4.00
Elton Brand	46	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	-3	24	15.8	15.9	-0.14	19.5	16.2	3.31
Louis Williams	43	41	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.00	13	5	8	16.0	15.8	0.17	17.0	19.0	-2.05
Evan Turner	44	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	5	8	15.1	16.7	-1.62	17.2	18.8	-1.58
Thaddeus Young	47	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	3	12	16.4	15.2	1.15	17.7	18.4	-0.73
Spencer Hawes	43	41	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	15	-12	15.3	16.4	-1.06	16.7	19.3	-2.61
Andre Iguodala	52	54	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	8	2	17.0	14.1	2.86	18.8	16.6	2.15
Nikola Vucevic	34	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	21	-24	15.9	15.8	0.07	18.4	17.7	0.70
Jodie Meeks	45	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	20	-22	15.2	16.7	-1.52	17.7	18.4	-0.74
Sam Young	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	11.5	16.2	-4.70	14.0	18.3	-4.32

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Alabi	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	16.0	18.2	-2.19	13.4	16.1	-2.66
Ben Uzoh	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.0	18.3	-4.32	11.5	16.2	-4.70
Amir Johnson	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-9	0	18.4	17.6	0.73	16.8	14.8	1.93
DeMar DeRozan	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-7	-4	19.0	16.4	2.64	16.6	14.7	1.92
Jose Calderon	39	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-10	2	19.2	17.0	2.11	16.5	15.4	1.19
Ed Davis	58	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-15	12	17.4	19.3	-1.83	15.9	15.8	0.16
Linas Kleiza	24	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-11	4	18.7	17.8	0.91	15.2	16.1	-0.86
Justin Dentmon	37	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-8	-2	17.4	18.5	-1.17	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Alan Anderson	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-7	-4	17.8	18.7	-0.91	16.1	15.2	0.86
Aaron Gray	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-5	-8	19.2	17.6	1.58	17.0	15.5	1.44
Gary Forbes	36	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-8	-2	16.6	19.0	-2.38	15.1	16.4	-1.27
James Johnson	38	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-4	-10	18.2	17.9	0.31	14.5	16.9	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.6%
ORL 103, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0,0,0	94.6%
MIA 94, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%