NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Excitement	11.4 [17]		MVP	Gerald Green (NJN): +68.4%
New Jersey Nets	122		Comeback	2.0 [708]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -18.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lester Hudson	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	22	57%	0.57	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Alonzo Gee	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29	0.09	0.21	0.01	15	59%	0.30	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.12
Antawn Jamison	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.16	-0.07	0.00	19	76%	0.33	5	-0.23	7	86%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.02	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Manny Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	0.01	-0.03	13	23%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68	0.68	0.25	0.45	0.01	18	78%	0.72	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.14	-0.01	17	62%	0.29	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.00	15	47%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	5	56%	0.19	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	56%	0.08	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.02
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.13	-0.03	19	45%	-0.05	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	30.5	15.5	23.5	2.4	34.6	2.6	23.2	156.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +11.2%

CLE -1.7%

NJN +24.6%

NJN +12.4%

NJN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.6	111.4	114.0	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		99.5	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		107.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	16.8	16.9	14.2	15.1	13.8	15.5
NJN	13.9	14.4	17.9	12.7	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manny Harris	58	57	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-7	9	14.7	16.6	-1.85	16.6	12.0	4.65
Luke Walton	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	16.8	15.3	1.50	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Samardo Samuels	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.3	15.0	1.28	13.8	14.9	-1.07
Omri Casspi	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	7	-19	16.0	15.4	0.60	12.7	15.1	-2.40
Tristan Thompson	65	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-6	7	15.0	16.3	-1.28	14.9	13.8	1.07
Donald Sloan	88	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-7	9	16.0	13.1	2.95	14.3	15.5	-1.20
Antawn Jamison	87	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	15.3	16.8	-1.50	14.5	14.2	0.31
Alonzo Gee	81	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.7	-0.23	14.8	13.6	1.20
Lester Hudson	59	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.10	13.2	16.2	-3.05

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	67	65	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.72	-1	6	-7	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.8	15.0	0.82
Gerald Green	78	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	0	5	13.9	15.9	-1.95	15.5	15.5	0.02
Anthony Morrow	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-6	17	13.0	16.3	-3.29	15.7	15.3	0.47
Sundiata Gaines	22	22	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	5	-5	16.0	14.1	1.97	13.8	16.0	-2.17
Kris Humphries	80	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	14.2	15.1	-0.90	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Deron Williams	78	77	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	11	-17	14.4	14.6	-0.15	15.5	15.7	-0.25
DeShawn Stevenson	36	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	3	-1	15.1	14.1	1.00	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Gerald Wallace	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	0	5	14.7	14.4	0.38	16.1	15.3	0.86
Jordan Williams	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	-1	7	13.4	14.8	-1.46	16.9	15.1	1.82
MarShon Brooks	56	56	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.30	3	2	1	15.9	12.9	3.05	15.1	16.0	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 78, NOK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	89.9%
ORL 114, HOU 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.31,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	88.3%
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	88.3%