NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	6.6 [393]		MVP	Devin Harris (UTA): +39.2%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	3.8 [572]		LVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): -14.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	16	70%	0.24	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	16	67%	0.16	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Jeremy Tyler	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.24	0.17	0.02	13	82%	0.39	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.11	0.01	18	73%	0.30	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	11	52%	0.03	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	29.3	14.8	26.2	2.3	29.3	126.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.9%

UTA +11.6%

GSW -3.1%

UTA +15.8%

GSW -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.6	104.3	110.6	102.8
season	15.2	15.8		103.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.8	13.8	14.6	15.9	15.0
UTA	13.6	13.4	19.0	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-8	10	13.1	15.9	-2.78	15.9	15.5	0.39
Brandon Rush	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-8	10	13.2	16.1	-2.96	15.0	16.1	-1.17
Charles Jenkins	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.9	0.17	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Dominic McGuire	20	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-6	6	13.9	15.2	-1.28	16.3	15.5	0.85
Andris Biedrins	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-10	14	14.1	16.0	-1.97	17.1	13.9	3.15
Dorell Wright	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	15.6	13.8	1.85	15.5	15.9	-0.40
David Lee	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	0	-6	15.2	13.9	1.28	15.5	16.3	-0.85
Jeremy Tyler	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	6	-18	16.4	13.8	2.63	14.2	16.8	-2.62
Nate Robinson	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.17	15.9	15.4	0.48
Klay Thompson	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	3	-12	16.1	12.9	3.20	15.9	15.3	0.63

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	76	76	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.27	22	-16	38	15.2	17.7	-2.52	15.6	12.1	3.52
Devin Harris	76	75	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-12	30	15.4	16.7	-1.29	15.9	11.3	4.56
Earl Watson	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	5	-4	16.7	14.7	2.07	14.6	15.2	-0.60
CJ Miles	30	28	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	1	4	17.8	14.7	3.11	17.1	14.1	3.01
Gordon Hayward	74	75	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	-1	8	14.9	18.5	-3.64	15.0	14.9	0.08
Paul Millsap	76	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	3	0	15.6	15.9	-0.33	14.8	15.6	-0.74
Derrick Favors	32	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	11	-16	16.9	15.1	1.81	13.6	15.7	-2.05
Jamaal Tinsley	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	4	-2	15.9	15.6	0.31	13.9	15.5	-1.60
Alec Burks	21	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	17	-28	13.6	16.3	-2.72	12.8	15.6	-2.77
Enes Kanter	10	10	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	18	-30	16.2	15.6	0.58	11.6	15.4	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.98,1	93.6%
UTA 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.5%
NOP 107, HOU 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.99,1	92.2%