NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	5.0 [660]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +16.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	119		Comeback	1.1 [687]		LVP	Anthony Randolph (MIN): -4.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	14	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	16	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	87%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	16	54%	0.08	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.02	17	65%	0.19	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	15	65%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	14	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	11	43%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	31.8	14.8	23.8	1.8	30.1	129.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.0%

POR +2.7%

POR +3.7%

POR +1.3%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	16.3	15.6	110.4	125.3	102.8
season	15.3	15.7		102.6	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.6	16.0	11.4	12.9	13.9
POR	16.3	14.6	15.8	18.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	49	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-8	3	13.8	14.0	-0.20	15.7	16.9	-1.28
Luke Ridnour	68	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-12	11	13.3	15.4	-2.16	17.2	14.0	3.23
Anthony Randolph	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-4	-5	13.4	14.1	-0.68	12.9	17.6	-4.73
Kevin Love	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-11	9	14.1	13.4	0.68	17.6	12.8	4.82
Martell Webster	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-9	5	12.8	15.2	-2.42	16.5	16.0	0.47
Malcolm Lee	38	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	14.8	13.3	1.52	15.6	16.7	-1.07
Anthony Tolliver	28	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-2	-9	17.2	12.5	4.74	16.5	16.2	0.30
Wayne Ellington	63	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	13.9	14.0	-0.11	16.2	16.4	-0.17
Derrick Williams	86	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	2	-17	13.7	16.0	-2.35	16.0	18.4	-2.38

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	73	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.05	24	-11	35	15.5	18.7	-3.13	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Wesley Matthews	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	4	5	17.2	13.6	3.57	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Jamal Crawford	50	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	5	3	16.4	16.1	0.35	14.9	12.8	2.15
Jonny Flynn	33	35	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	3	7	15.6	16.6	-1.02	15.4	13.0	2.32
Nicolas Batum	71	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	7	-1	15.2	19.4	-4.15	13.3	15.9	-2.65
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	9	-5	17.2	13.5	3.66	13.9	14.0	-0.09
Raymond Felton	62	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	10	-7	16.6	15.6	1.02	13.0	15.4	-2.32
Craig Smith	9	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	10	-7	12.0	16.7	-4.72	16.6	13.5	3.10
Luke Babbitt	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	15	-17	17.0	15.8	1.17	13.4	14.2	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.9%
SAS 75, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAC 106, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.95,1	94.6%