NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	11.0 [31]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +30.2%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	7.4 [74]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -25.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3	0.12	0.18	-0.00	8	76%	0.34	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.05
Marcus Thornton	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	20	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,0.03,-0.08,0.06	0.00	0.07	0.01	22	50%	0.20	4	-0.14	10	50%	-0.11
Charles Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.04	-0.00	5	29%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Francisco Garcia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.01	6	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.13	-0.00	21	54%	-0.02	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.17
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	10	54%	0.15	2	-0.26	8	75%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	13	18%	-0.23	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	0.01	15	50%	-0.12	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	32.0	15.8	32.2	1.7	40.2	149.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.4%

SAC +31.4%

UTA -46.8%

SAC +26.2%

UTA -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	15.6	108.3	105.1	102.8
season	14.9	15.8		102.2	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	15.5	15.0	16.0	15.0
UTA	13.4	14.5	15.0	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	74	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-3	7	14.4	17.0	-2.65	13.9	17.3	-3.47
Terrence Williams	40	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.53	-3	4	-7	16.4	14.0	2.49	16.2	13.6	2.66
Donte Greene	33	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-4	9	14.9	15.0	-0.09	15.8	14.1	1.74
Jason Thompson	59	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	-3	7	13.5	17.5	-4.00	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Isaiah Thomas	69	70	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	-3	7	13.9	17.7	-3.81	13.8	17.0	-3.18
Francisco Garcia	32	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	3	-5	16.3	14.3	2.02	15.2	14.4	0.74
Travis Outlaw	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-6	13	13.8	15.5	-1.68	14.4	14.8	-0.47
Marcus Thornton	77	79	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	0	1	14.3	17.8	-3.48	13.9	17.8	-3.91
Jimmer Fredette	28	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	4	-7	18.0	13.7	4.29	16.5	13.9	2.54
Hassan Whiteside	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	1	-1	19.9	14.6	5.24	11.7	14.9	-3.21
Charles Hayes	32	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	13	-25	17.5	13.8	3.70	16.8	13.5	3.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	22	22	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-7	13	14.9	14.6	0.28	18.1	14.1	4.01
Paul Millsap	62	64	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.16	-1	0	-1	13.5	16.7	-3.12	14.2	16.6	-2.44
Enes Kanter	17	17	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-4	7	19.2	13.7	5.49	16.8	14.6	2.14
Devin Harris	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	5	-11	13.7	15.5	-1.75	13.1	16.6	-3.44
CJ Miles	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.15	-10	9	-19	14.3	14.9	-0.64	12.5	16.2	-3.76
Alec Burks	67	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.62	9	-10	19	14.9	14.3	0.64	16.2	12.5	3.76
Earl Watson	54	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-6	11	15.5	13.7	1.75	16.6	13.1	3.44
Derrick Favors	43	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.70	6	-7	13	15.6	14.0	1.58	17.0	13.6	3.33
Gordon Hayward	77	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	6	-13	14.5	15.5	-1.00	14.1	18.1	-4.01
Al Jefferson	73	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	9	-19	14.2	16.0	-1.75	14.2	17.3	-3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.66,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.45,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.42,0	91.3%
CHI 115, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.85,0	91.0%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	90.5%