NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	133		Excitement	18.5 [1]		MVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): +57.4%
Atlanta Hawks	139		Comeback	10.8 [109]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -47.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.17	-0.01	6	74%	0.29	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0.14,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.09	0.03	27	52%	0.18	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.01	15	46%	0.13	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.12
DeMarre Carroll	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	7	36%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.2	0.07	-0.27	0.00	14	61%	-0.12	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.46,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.45,-0.45,-0.41	-0.18	-0.23	0.01	18	27%	-0.26	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	-0.48	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.47,-0.47,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	25	44%	-0.42	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.57	0.08	0.50	0.01	11	60%	0.57	0	0.00	3	100%	0.10
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	71%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.07	-0.00	8	70%	0.20	1	-0.19	7	86%	0.03
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.03	28	58%	0.15	5	-0.19	8	62%	-0.06
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.19	-0.01	14	46%	0.08	3	-0.29	11	91%	0.11
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.16,-0.23,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.07	-0.28	0.01	26	38%	-0.28	1	-0.08	6	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3		OT4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	28.7	15.0	27.2	1.8	35.1	1.5	11.1	2.4	12.9	1.6	13.1	1.6	19.0	194.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +104.4%

ATL +15.0%

UTA -43.4%

UTA -35.3%

ATL +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.6	104.7	113.0	102.8
season	15.8	15.7		104.0	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.1		99.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	18.0	17.5	14.5	17.0	17.1	16.9
ATL	14.7	15.9	16.9	15.7	15.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	18	18	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.18	-2	-4	2	17.5	16.8	0.75	17.3	15.5	1.77
Jamaal Tinsley	25	23	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.16	-5	-1	-4	17.2	16.8	0.43	16.6	15.6	1.04
Alec Burks	39	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-5	4	17.1	16.8	0.28	16.1	15.6	0.45
Enes Kanter	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-1	-4	17.8	16.7	1.11	18.8	15.3	3.55
Paul Millsap	98	96	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	17.0	16.3	0.67	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Derrick Favors	36	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	3	-12	16.5	17.0	-0.54	15.7	15.8	-0.04
Al Jefferson	96	93	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-7	8	17.0	16.5	0.54	15.7	16.0	-0.31
CJ Miles	93	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-5	4	16.7	17.4	-0.68	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Gordon Hayward	109	105	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.51	-4	-2	-2	16.8	17.5	-0.75	15.5	17.3	-1.77
Devin Harris	95	91	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.53	-5	-1	-4	16.5	17.8	-1.32	15.5	16.5	-0.99

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	46	46	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.51	10	-4	14	15.4	16.0	-0.56	17.3	16.6	0.63
Zaza Pachulia	96	98	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.61	1	5	-4	16.3	13.9	2.45	17.3	15.2	2.10
Joe Johnson	102	106	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	15.4	17.6	-2.24	16.7	17.7	-1.03
Jeff Teague	96	99	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	5	-4	15.6	16.2	-0.59	16.9	16.7	0.18
Jason Collins	15	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	2	2	16.7	15.6	1.10	16.0	17.0	-0.99
Marvin Williams	72	75	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	2	2	15.2	16.6	-1.44	16.0	18.2	-2.19
Ivan Johnson	48	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	5	-4	15.7	15.8	-0.02	15.9	17.5	-1.56
Kirk Hinrich	75	78	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.24	-2	8	-10	17.0	13.9	3.06	17.5	15.8	1.70
Josh Smith	55	57	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.28	-2	8	-10	15.3	16.1	-0.86	17.5	16.4	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.3,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.23,0.54,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, VAN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	86.0%
ORL 79, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.68,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.58,1	85.9%
HOU 93, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	85.7%