NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	6.8 [350]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +14.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	1.4 [431]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -18.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	14	58%	0.20	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Landry Fields	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	89%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0	-0.07	0.07	0.01	17	41%	0.02	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.04
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	11	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	15	32%	-0.15	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.07
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.10	0.07	8	76%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.02	-0.03	7	19%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	3.5	28.4	17.7	29.1	3.3	40.7	153.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +0.8%

NYK +13.5%

NYK +32.4%

PHI -0.6%

NYK +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.6	93.2	91.9	102.8
season	14.9	15.6		102.3	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.7		97.6	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	14.9	20.1	15.7	16.5
PHI	18.3	15.8	16.9	15.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	48	46	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-1	5	15.0	18.4	-3.42	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Jeremy Lin	65	63	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	16.8	15.7	1.08	17.0	15.3	1.73
J.R. Smith	55	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	2	-1	16.7	16.2	0.52	15.4	18.6	-3.27
Carmelo Anthony	60	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	2	-1	17.6	14.2	3.45	16.7	16.3	0.45
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	6	-9	17.2	14.6	2.53	16.7	16.2	0.50
Jared Jeffries	27	26	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	-1	5	15.8	16.9	-1.09	15.8	16.9	-1.15
Steve Novak	22	21	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	-3	9	13.4	17.6	-4.23	15.3	17.0	-1.70
Landry Fields	32	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	3	-3	16.7	16.4	0.24	18.6	15.4	3.27
Tyson Chandler	42	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	4	-5	17.5	15.6	1.89	18.1	15.2	2.97
Baron Davis	23	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	15.7	16.8	-1.08	15.3	17.0	-1.73

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-5	7	10.8	17.0	-6.17	15.8	16.6	-0.75
Evan Turner	47	50	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	16.6	16.5	0.06	15.4	18.1	-2.67
Thaddeus Young	46	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-6	9	16.3	16.9	-0.66	18.0	14.8	3.22
Jodie Meeks	49	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-12	21	15.0	18.7	-3.74	16.7	16.3	0.41
Spencer Hawes	38	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	6	-15	17.8	15.6	2.28	14.4	18.0	-3.58
Elton Brand	61	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-1	-1	17.7	13.8	3.96	17.9	12.8	5.09
Jrue Holiday	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	2	-7	16.6	16.6	0.02	15.8	19.4	-3.66
Louis Williams	48	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	1	-5	16.2	17.0	-0.77	15.7	17.7	-1.98
Andre Iguodala	67	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	6	-15	16.9	15.3	1.61	17.5	13.1	4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.02,0,0	92.4%
MIL 99, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0	91.9%
SAS 115, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.27,0	91.9%