NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	3.1 [939]		MVP	Michael Redd (PHX): +16.9%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.3 [806]		LVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): -9.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.05	13	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Fortson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	53%	0.01	4	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	0.00	0.05	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	8	11%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.00	0.06	13	86%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	14	63%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	38%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.0	26.3	14.8	23.0	1.8	26.2	122.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.2%

PHX +2.6%

HOU -3.3%

PHX +13.1%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	92.5	108.8	102.8
season	15.4	15.0		103.5	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.2	15.5	16.0	14.3	16.0
PHX	13.7	14.5	14.0	19.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Fortson	12	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-15	17	15.7	16.1	-0.32	14.5	15.4	-0.92
Marcus Morris	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-11	9	13.5	16.8	-3.32	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Samuel Dalembert	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	17.4	15.1	2.28	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Chandler Parsons	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-6	-1	16.6	15.5	1.11	15.1	15.4	-0.22
Luis Scola	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-7	1	16.9	15.2	1.74	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Goran Dragic	68	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-8	3	15.5	17.5	-1.98	16.0	13.3	2.62
Marcus Camby	39	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	16.2	15.9	0.25	14.3	15.9	-1.67
Patrick Patterson	53	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	14.9	17.5	-2.53	15.8	14.6	1.18
Courtney Lee	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-2	-9	16.8	13.5	3.32	15.3	15.0	0.35
Chase Budinger	71	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	3	-19	15.7	17.2	-1.57	15.7	13.7	2.08

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	1	11	16.1	14.1	1.99	16.1	15.9	0.23
Grant Hill	59	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	2	9	15.4	14.9	0.50	16.0	16.1	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	59	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	3	7	14.7	16.3	-1.67	16.3	15.6	0.67
Steve Nash	56	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	3	7	16.0	14.1	1.96	16.7	15.0	1.64
Markieff Morris	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	6	1	13.7	16.2	-2.47	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Channing Frye	56	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	7	-1	16.2	13.7	2.47	16.5	15.3	1.20
Sebastian Telfair	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	10	-7	14.1	16.0	-1.96	15.0	16.7	-1.64
Robin Lopez	30	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	8	-3	15.4	15.2	0.25	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Shannon Brown	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	13	-13	15.8	14.9	0.89	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Michael Redd	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	12	-11	14.1	16.1	-1.99	15.9	16.1	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.8%
WAS 101, BOS 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NJN 79, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%