NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	5.5 [568]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (TOR): +16.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	1.6 [335]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -9.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.03	-0.04	14	61%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	67%	0.19	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Gary Forbes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	58%	0.10	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Aaron Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	83%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	70%	0.09	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.02	18	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	17	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	31.2	15.8	30.0	1.8	31.4	136.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +66.8%

CLE -12.8%

TOR +6.8%

CLE -11.1%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	18.6	15.7	15.6	114.3	104.8	102.8
season	16.5	15.5		98.9	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.2		107.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.6	14.6	19.3	22.0	18.6
CLE	14.1	18.1	17.7	12.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	64	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	19.3	16.3	3.00	15.7	15.6	0.17
James Johnson	31	32	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	-3	14	18.5	18.6	-0.16	18.1	14.2	3.91
Amir Johnson	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-1	10	17.7	19.4	-1.69	15.9	15.5	0.31
Andrea Bargnani	51	49	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	3	2	19.3	17.4	1.91	15.6	15.8	-0.22
DeMar DeRozan	57	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	18.9	17.9	0.97	15.9	15.3	0.60
Leandro Barbosa	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	7	-6	18.8	18.3	0.49	14.3	17.2	-2.86
Ed Davis	43	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	9	-10	18.7	18.4	0.33	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Aaron Gray	32	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	18.3	18.8	-0.49	15.7	15.7	-0.07
Linas Kleiza	36	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	4	0	17.9	19.1	-1.22	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Gary Forbes	20	21	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	6	-4	16.3	19.3	-3.00	15.6	15.7	-0.17

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	42	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-13	18	15.6	15.8	-0.21	18.6	18.6	0.01
Omri Casspi	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-5	2	16.3	15.4	0.87	18.0	18.9	-0.86
Samardo Samuels	22	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-5	2	16.1	15.5	0.59	16.6	19.2	-2.54
Ramon Sessions	47	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-10	12	14.5	17.2	-2.71	19.7	17.1	2.64
Anthony Parker	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	16.7	14.7	2.01	18.0	19.1	-1.09
Alonzo Gee	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-9	10	15.2	16.5	-1.29	19.2	17.5	1.64
Antawn Jamison	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	15.5	16.1	-0.59	19.2	16.6	2.54
Daniel Gibson	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	3	-14	15.4	16.0	-0.58	17.8	19.2	-1.33
Ryan Hollins	36	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	3	-14	16.8	14.9	1.93	17.9	19.1	-1.16
Kyrie Irving	53	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	15.7	15.7	-0.01	18.6	18.5	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 111, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%
GSW 93, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
UTA 105, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%