NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	4.9 [837]		MVP	Darius Miles (LAC): +9.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	2.0 [405]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): -9.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	10	73%	0.12	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	91%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Jarron Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	15	58%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	16	47%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	81%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	63%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.03	21	60%	0.06	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	14	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.0	25.1	15.7	27.2	2.8	34.3	129.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.2%

UTA +2.1%

UTA +5.7%

UTA +15.6%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.6	119.3	107.0	102.3
season	16.1	15.9		102.9	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.2	16.7	13.8	17.9	16.3
LAC	17.9	18.4	15.6	15.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-4	21	16.7	14.9	1.82	16.2	18.9	-2.75
Bryon Russell	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	0	13	16.0	19.3	-3.24	16.8	17.0	-0.21
Greg Ostertag	49	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-2	17	16.5	16.1	0.41	17.3	16.1	1.22
Karl Malone	73	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	2	9	16.4	15.9	0.45	16.5	17.9	-1.39
Scott Padgett	42	41	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	3	7	16.5	16.1	0.42	18.0	15.8	2.20
Andrei Kirilenko	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	3	7	16.2	16.5	-0.27	15.8	18.5	-2.73
Jarron Collins	41	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	17	-21	15.8	16.7	-0.94	16.1	17.4	-1.23
DeShawn Stevenson	23	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	17	-21	17.0	16.0	1.00	19.0	16.1	2.91
Rusty LaRue	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	16	-19	13.9	16.6	-2.69	19.3	16.5	2.83

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	24	24	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-13	13	17.9	16.4	1.55	16.0	16.4	-0.36
Corey Maggette	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-16	19	13.6	17.3	-3.74	17.5	16.1	1.35
Earl Boykins	18	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-17	21	15.6	17.1	-1.58	18.3	15.8	2.46
Doug Overton	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-8	3	16.0	16.9	-0.86	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Sean Rooks	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-7	1	17.1	16.7	0.39	16.6	16.2	0.41
Eric Piatkowski	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	17.4	16.0	1.40	15.7	17.2	-1.55
Quentin Richardson	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	16.0	17.4	-1.40	17.2	15.7	1.55
Michael Olowokandi	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	16.5	19.4	-2.95	15.9	19.4	-3.49
Jeff McInnis	62	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	17.2	15.7	1.58	15.9	17.4	-1.47
Elton Brand	77	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	0	-13	17.0	14.8	2.26	16.6	13.6	3.06
Darius Miles	50	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	3	-19	17.0	16.5	0.57	16.1	16.5	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 119, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MIA 111, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.1%
DEN 111, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.9%