NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	4.8 [699]		MVP	Louis Williams (PHI): +14.9%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.9 [348]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (NYK): -18.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.03	-0.03	19	64%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	11	76%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.02	10	62%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	69%	0.15	5	-0.10	7	86%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-0.05	14	23%	-0.13	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.05
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	13	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.19	-0.04	-0.05	18	34%	-0.07	6	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	28.9	16.5	33.4	2.0	25.4	131.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +52.4%

NYK -4.5%

NYK -5.4%

PHI +4.4%

PHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	15.6	109.3	94.9	102.8
season	15.6	14.9		101.0	102.3
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.2	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	14.0	13.0	19.0	15.3
NYK	14.0	14.8	15.2	12.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.17	15	-3	18	14.9	17.6	-2.70	14.3	13.1	1.24
Andre Iguodala	77	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	2	8	15.4	15.0	0.35	14.2	13.8	0.34
Thaddeus Young	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	1	10	15.4	15.1	0.28	14.1	14.1	0.02
Elton Brand	65	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	8	-4	15.8	14.2	1.53	13.9	14.6	-0.65
Jodie Meeks	15	15	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	-3	18	12.7	15.8	-3.09	14.2	14.1	0.09
Jrue Holiday	76	79	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	12	-12	15.6	14.0	1.57	14.2	13.8	0.40
Louis Williams	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	5	2	15.8	14.6	1.20	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Nikola Vucevic	42	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	14	-16	14.6	15.8	-1.20	14.2	14.1	0.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	27	27	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.14	-3	-9	6	14.0	14.2	-0.22	13.7	15.9	-2.13
Landry Fields	69	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-14	16	13.4	15.8	-2.41	15.9	13.9	1.92
Jeremy Lin	76	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-10	8	13.9	14.8	-0.92	15.7	14.0	1.62
Steve Novak	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-7	2	14.1	14.1	-0.02	16.8	13.8	3.01
Tyson Chandler	81	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-8	4	13.8	15.5	-1.69	15.6	14.1	1.52
J.R. Smith	44	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-8	4	14.3	14.0	0.35	17.0	13.8	3.17
Amar'e Stoudemire	60	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	0	-12	14.6	13.3	1.30	14.4	16.6	-2.19
Baron Davis	28	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.10	-16	4	-20	15.2	13.7	1.47	13.9	15.8	-1.87
Carmelo Anthony	64	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	4	-20	14.5	13.3	1.20	13.5	18.4	-4.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
POR 136, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
SAC 108, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%