NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	95		Excitement	6.4 [423]		MVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (NOH): +10.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	1.3 [238]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -19.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	5	80%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	7	77%	0.15	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Gustavo Ayon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	21	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jeff Foote	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	7	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.12	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.04	23	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.05
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	13	70%	0.08	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	47%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Malcolm Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	7	12%	-0.13	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	27.2	15.4	24.9	1.7	39.5	132.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +35.5%

MIN -2.2%

NOH +0.4%

NOH +14.4%

NOH +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	102.2	94.7	102.8
season	16.3	15.3		99.2	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.8	14.5	17.1	17.7	15.7
MIN	15.6	16.2	15.6	13.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-6	18	14.6	18.6	-3.96	15.3	14.6	0.64
Gustavo Ayon	49	49	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	16.9	14.4	2.58	16.5	13.5	2.98
Al-Farouq Aminu	28	30	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	-2	10	17.9	14.8	3.16	16.0	14.6	1.39
Greivis Vasquez	37	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	1	4	18.0	14.2	3.79	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Xavier Henry	34	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-4	14	17.3	14.8	2.53	15.7	14.7	0.97
Chris Kaman	71	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	10	-14	15.3	17.1	-1.80	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Trevor Ariza	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	8	-10	14.8	17.9	-3.16	14.5	16.4	-1.97
Jarrett Jack	62	62	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	8	-10	14.7	17.7	-3.03	14.6	16.0	-1.34
Lance Thomas	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	6	-6	15.1	16.2	-1.08	14.3	15.6	-1.34
Jeff Foote	14	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	9	-12	15.2	15.8	-0.60	13.8	15.3	-1.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-5	4	16.6	15.0	1.60	16.7	15.7	1.01
Malcolm Lee	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-3	0	16.2	15.0	1.25	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Nikola Pekovic	69	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-13	20	15.0	15.3	-0.27	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Martell Webster	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-3	0	15.7	14.5	1.23	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Wesley Johnson	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-5	4	14.7	15.5	-0.83	15.8	15.6	0.22
Derrick Williams	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	1	-8	15.7	14.6	1.02	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Wayne Ellington	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-5	4	14.2	16.1	-1.86	16.0	15.4	0.65
Michael Beasley	30	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	3	-12	15.4	14.9	0.46	16.3	15.4	0.91
Luke Ridnour	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-3	0	15.0	16.2	-1.25	15.8	15.0	0.80
Kevin Love	81	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.1	15.2	-0.17	15.8	15.2	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	93.7%
LAL 90, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.7%
CHI 96, NOH 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.7%