NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	10.4 [42]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +83.1%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	3.7 [105]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -26.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.83	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.02,0.26,0.83	0.01	0.82	-0.00	16	53%	0.92	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Alonzo Gee	0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24	0.06	0.13	-0.05	12	63%	0.37	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	-0.02	0.02	21	65%	0.19	1	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manny Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Anthony Parker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	9	28%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.28	0.28	-0.04	0.32	0.00	10	52%	0.39	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	80%	0.20	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	20	52%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	30%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	7	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	10	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,0.03,-0.06,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.19	-0.00	14	55%	0.08	7	-0.35	5	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	35.1	16.5	26.2	1.8	35.1	141.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +69.5%

CLE +5.1%

DEN -24.6%

CLE +1.8%

DEN -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.6	100.0	101.0	102.8
season	15.5	14.5		99.5	107.5
opponent	15.8	15.6		104.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	16.6	17.6	14.0	15.3
DEN	15.0	12.7	12.9	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	63	62	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.53	20	-19	39	15.7	14.7	1.03	14.4	12.5	1.89
Kyrie Irving	65	66	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.52	15	-14	29	15.4	15.3	0.10	14.7	11.8	2.84
Antawn Jamison	78	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-4	9	14.8	17.4	-2.58	14.2	12.3	1.91
Anthony Parker	57	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	0	1	15.3	15.4	-0.12	14.7	12.5	2.20
Daniel Gibson	44	43	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.59	-4	5	-9	14.7	15.9	-1.15	11.8	15.3	-3.49
Ryan Hollins	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	-4	9	14.2	16.1	-1.92	14.6	13.2	1.39
Manny Harris	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	1	-1	3.0	15.5	-12.47	0.0	13.7	-13.72
Samardo Samuels	21	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	5	-9	18.0	14.6	3.41	12.3	14.2	-1.91
Ramon Sessions	45	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.01	-9	10	-19	15.6	15.2	0.41	12.8	14.4	-1.58
Tristan Thompson	51	48	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.30	-5	6	-11	16.6	14.0	2.57	13.2	14.2	-1.01
Omri Casspi	37	36	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	-0.05	-19	20	-39	14.7	15.7	-1.03	12.5	14.4	-1.89

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	39	40	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-8	15	13.1	14.1	-1.03	15.3	15.4	-0.04
Corey Brewer	39	42	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.12	-1	0	-1	14.6	13.2	1.44	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Andre Miller	50	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-1	1	12.9	14.5	-1.60	16.1	14.6	1.42
Danilo Gallinari	48	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.45	10	-11	21	12.6	14.8	-2.28	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Kenneth Faried	40	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	6	-13	14.4	13.3	1.10	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Al Harrington	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.55	6	-7	13	13.5	14.3	-0.83	16.2	13.6	2.65
Ty Lawson	83	84	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.49	-6	5	-11	14.1	11.5	2.67	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Arron Afflalo	79	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.53	-5	4	-9	14.1	12.3	1.75	15.7	14.0	1.69
Nene	45	46	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.45	-9	8	-17	14.1	13.4	0.67	15.1	15.6	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.55,0.66,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 76, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	91.1%
GSW 97, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.58,0	90.9%
IND 100, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.66,0.58,0	90.7%