NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	7.7 [240]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): +29.6%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	3.3 [435]		LVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): -15.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	68%	0.13	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.05
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	24	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.04,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05
Omri Casspi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	9	32%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.15	-0.01	22	69%	0.42	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	17	55%	0.18	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	73%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	39%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.5	28.6	16.4	26.3	1.8	35.2	135.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +45.5%

WAS +5.2%

WAS +16.1%

CLE -17.7%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	15.6	100.0	103.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.0		99.5	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		104.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	14.2	15.0	13.2	14.4
WAS	16.2	14.7	13.2	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	69	71	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.25	10	-13	23	13.8	15.7	-1.94	14.4	16.7	-2.36
Kyrie Irving	66	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.32	9	-12	21	13.5	16.2	-2.76	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Antawn Jamison	79	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.50	12	-15	27	13.5	17.9	-4.39	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Ryan Hollins	66	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-11	19	13.5	16.1	-2.58	14.6	15.8	-1.14
Samardo Samuels	13	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	7	-17	16.8	14.0	2.87	15.1	15.0	0.07
Tristan Thompson	31	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	5	-13	16.6	13.3	3.30	15.8	14.6	1.14
Anthony Parker	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-8	13	13.7	16.2	-2.52	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Omri Casspi	19	17	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	11	-25	17.9	13.5	4.39	15.8	14.9	0.89
Ramon Sessions	34	33	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	13	-29	16.9	13.0	3.96	15.6	14.8	0.82
Daniel Gibson	42	41	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	8	-19	14.7	14.1	0.58	16.6	13.9	2.67

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	57	57	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.33	13	-10	23	14.6	15.6	-0.95	14.7	13.9	0.78
Roger Mason Jr.	25	28	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.06	14	-11	25	15.1	15.0	0.07	16.1	13.7	2.40
Trevor Booker	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	4	-5	15.7	14.1	1.59	13.9	14.9	-0.96
Shelvin Mack	22	24	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	-11	25	15.7	14.8	0.90	16.7	13.6	3.17
JaVale McGee	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	-2	7	15.2	14.8	0.47	13.8	15.1	-1.33
John Wall	76	75	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.47	-8	11	-19	14.8	15.7	-0.90	13.4	17.5	-4.08
Jordan Crawford	74	71	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.42	-8	11	-19	14.9	15.5	-0.68	13.5	16.6	-3.14
Jan Vesely	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	4	-5	14.5	15.5	-1.04	14.7	14.1	0.57
Andray Blatche	42	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	4	-5	14.8	15.2	-0.39	16.0	13.3	2.77
Chris Singleton	41	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.14	-12	15	-27	15.5	14.7	0.79	14.0	14.6	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.96,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
ATL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.94,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	92.7%
VAN 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.7%