inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 81 Excitement4.8 [690] MVPDamien Wilkins (DET): +4.3%
Detroit Pistons 96 Comeback1.6 [295] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -22.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Stiemsma-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00367%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.021169%0.065-0.084100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01657%-0.001-0.0120%-0.04
Avery Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.000.03841%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Chris Wilcox-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.020.041064%0.022-0.052100%0.01
Ray Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.021159%0.044-0.0900%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
JaJuan Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01450%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.17-0.050.01631%-0.076-0.16475%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00275%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.021050%0.0100.00683%-0.00
Vernon Macklin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walker Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.041046%0.062-0.061580%0.05
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02370%0.012-0.02450%-0.02
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02767%0.044-0.074100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001441%-0.0400.00450%-0.02
Jason Maxiell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01743%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.011938%-0.082-0.02714%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.536.318.830.12.529.2148.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS -1.3%
DET +4.7%
DET +25.5%
DET +20.1%
DET +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDETNBABOSDETNBA
this game14.816.315.687.1104.3102.8
season15.516.399.499.5
opponent15.416.2104.497.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.714.313.315.314.8
DET16.014.515.519.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic77-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-171912.615.0-2.4620.915.94.94
E'Twaun Moore98-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-182111.315.2-3.8919.016.02.96
Marquis Daniels109-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-182112.715.1-2.4119.416.03.49
Greg Stiemsma2827-0.10-0.400.29-0.131-161715.514.60.8817.315.91.47
Keyon Dooling2526-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-7-116.714.22.5617.216.01.20
Avery Bradley2725-0.18-0.320.13-0.10-3-12915.014.80.2617.016.01.03
Chris Wilcox5454-0.21-0.290.090.09-10-5-514.715.0-0.3015.916.8-0.93
JaJuan Johnson2019-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-7-8117.614.13.5015.516.5-1.03
Mickael Pietrus3334-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-3-916.613.92.7217.615.52.10
Rajon Rondo5758-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.07-7-8114.315.7-1.4215.517.6-2.15
Jermaine O'Neal5455-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-7-113.916.2-2.3315.417.6-2.13
Paul Pierce6967-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-3-914.615.5-0.8815.917.4-1.46
Ray Allen7271-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-172-1914.815.1-0.3815.718.2-2.46

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Jerebko40390.390.110.29-0.051501516.616.10.5015.714.21.50
Ben Gordon43440.350.150.20-0.00123917.515.22.2915.714.01.71
Rodney Stuckey74710.320.180.150.00114716.116.9-0.8114.715.3-0.61
Brandon Knight59610.290.210.090.0978-115.717.3-1.5314.216.1-1.90
Ben Wallace27260.280.220.07-0.101321117.116.01.1616.614.22.45
Tayshaun Prince71730.270.230.050.18312-916.216.5-0.2414.815.1-0.38
Greg Monroe64650.210.29-0.080.15213-1115.717.5-1.7914.415.9-1.54
Damien Wilkins14150.200.30-0.09-0.0387115.616.4-0.7714.914.80.02
Will Bynum23240.120.38-0.250.01411-717.216.01.1715.714.61.10
Jason Maxiell43430.050.45-0.400.05015-1515.417.1-1.7314.315.3-0.93
Vernon Macklin120.000.50-0.500.00015-1529.016.212.857.015.0-8.02
Walker Russell120.000.50-0.500.00015-1529.016.212.857.015.0-8.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 102, MIN 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,196.1%
CLE 68, PHI 790.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
IND 77, NOH 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.9%