NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	114		Excitement	3.9 [823]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +20.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	2.1 [666]		LVP	Drew Gooden (MIL): -11.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.23	0.02	0.04	21	78%	0.24	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	7	93%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.13	5	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mickell Gladness	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.00	0.07	12	89%	0.16	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	73%	0.03	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	39%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	27.4	16.4	26.4	2.5	30.3	131.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.9%

MIL -4.6%

MIA +0.7%

MIA +1.6%

MIA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	MIL	NBA	MIA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.6	121.3	100.0	102.8
season	15.5	14.6		105.6	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.4	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.2	15.7	14.4	16.8	15.5
MIL	13.7	17.0	15.0	13.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	2	14	15.3	15.8	-0.52	14.8	14.8	0.02
LeBron James	63	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	4	10	15.3	15.8	-0.49	15.1	14.2	0.94
Dwyane Wade	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	9	0	15.9	14.9	1.03	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Norris Cole	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	2	14	16.2	14.8	1.36	15.0	14.6	0.43
Mike Miller	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.19	17	1	16	16.1	15.0	1.03	15.0	14.7	0.35
Joel Anthony	31	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	9	0	15.9	15.3	0.63	15.4	14.5	0.97
Shane Battier	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.13	10	8	2	15.4	15.6	-0.11	15.7	14.3	1.41
Mario Chalmers	45	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	16	-14	14.8	16.2	-1.36	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Udonis Haslem	51	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	14	-10	16.1	14.8	1.37	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Eddy Curry	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	14.9	15.6	-0.69	13.6	14.9	-1.39
Juwan Howard	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.4	15.8	-2.36	12.9	15.0	-2.13
James Jones	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.4	15.8	-2.36	12.9	15.0	-2.13
Mickell Gladness	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	12.0	15.7	-3.75	12.8	14.9	-2.11

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-22	26	15.2	14.7	0.55	15.7	15.4	0.30
Larry Sanders	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	12.9	15.0	-2.13	13.4	15.8	-2.36
Tobias Harris	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	12.3	15.3	-3.00	16.1	15.4	0.67
Jon Leuer	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-17	16	12.2	15.3	-3.08	12.8	16.0	-3.23
Beno Udrih	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	14.9	14.7	0.17	17.1	14.5	2.59
Stephen Jackson	29	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-6	-6	15.9	14.3	1.55	18.0	14.4	3.61
Mike Dunleavy	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-3	-12	15.8	14.2	1.55	15.8	15.3	0.46
Shaun Livingston	41	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-11	4	14.9	14.8	0.11	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Ersan Ilyasova	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-5	-8	15.9	13.8	2.07	17.3	13.9	3.37
Luc Mbah a Moute	54	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.35	14.4	16.9	-2.48
Carlos Delfino	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-6	-6	14.6	15.2	-0.61	15.8	14.8	1.00
Drew Gooden	54	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-6	-6	15.1	14.4	0.77	14.8	16.4	-1.66
Brandon Jennings	60	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-4	-10	14.7	14.9	-0.17	14.5	17.1	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 108, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
OKC 102, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0	95.7%
LAC 113, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%