NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	113		Excitement	3.7 [1054]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +22.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.8 [384]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -12.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	13	82%	0.24	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Marreese Speights	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	14	36%	-0.06	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	0.00	0.11	6	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	19	56%	0.06	4	-0.04	12	92%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	14	41%	0.01	5	-0.09	11	55%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.5	35.3	17.7	30.2	3.3	31.4	150.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.8%

CLE -6.5%

LAC +15.2%

LAC +13.5%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	14.8	118.9	100.0	107.7
season	15.0	14.9		110.8	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	16.6	15.4	17.3	16.1
CLE	14.2	16.1	14.6	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	58	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-2	23	16.0	16.2	-0.23	14.9	13.5	1.40
Blake Griffin	62	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	0	19	16.0	16.4	-0.40	14.0	15.0	-1.05
DeAndre Jordan	60	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	3	13	15.9	16.4	-0.42	14.1	14.8	-0.65
JJ Redick	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	1	17	16.0	16.2	-0.14	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Chris Paul	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	4	11	17.1	15.2	1.90	15.2	13.5	1.68
Austin Rivers	49	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	15	-11	15.2	17.1	-1.90	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Jamal Crawford	40	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	13	-7	16.7	15.7	1.03	15.4	13.6	1.82
Marreese Speights	31	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	18	-17	17.2	15.6	1.57	14.7	14.2	0.54
Raymond Felton	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	18	-17	15.9	16.2	-0.31	15.3	13.7	1.60
Alan Anderson	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	23	-27	14.7	16.3	-1.56	12.0	14.7	-2.67
Paul Pierce	31	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	21	-23	15.8	16.2	-0.40	13.3	14.9	-1.65

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McRae	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.0	14.7	-2.67	20.4	15.5	4.82
James Jones	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	12.2	14.7	-2.47	20.8	15.4	5.49
Kay Felder	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-21	23	15.4	14.1	1.38	19.1	15.3	3.79
Chris Andersen	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-17	15	11.4	14.9	-3.53	19.5	15.5	3.98
Kevin Love	48	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-13	7	13.8	15.0	-1.16	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-12	5	14.7	14.0	0.69	15.3	16.8	-1.51
Iman Shumpert	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-8	-3	15.3	13.7	1.61	14.9	17.0	-2.04
Channing Frye	32	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-14	9	13.9	14.6	-0.74	14.8	16.8	-1.93
JR Smith	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-6	-7	14.6	14.1	0.48	15.7	16.5	-0.88
Kyrie Irving	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	-1	-17	14.0	15.3	-1.36	15.7	17.2	-1.55
Tristan Thompson	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.15	-20	1	-21	15.1	12.3	2.79	15.6	17.4	-1.87
LeBron James	65	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	1	-21	14.8	13.5	1.27	16.0	16.2	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 102, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0	95.7%
IND 90, BOS 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
TOR 124, UTA 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%