NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	84		Excitement	7.9 [222]		MVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): +32.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	1.0 [837]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): -21.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmer Fredette	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	8	81%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.21,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	8	55%	0.14	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Marcus Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.06
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	4	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Charles Hayes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.15,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	13	31%	-0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Isaiah Thomas	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.33	0.33	0.03	0.30	-0.00	10	50%	0.33	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.08
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	-0.00	12	79%	0.24	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	12	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	21	38%	-0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	9	27%	-0.07	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	27.4	15.5	26.5	2.5	35.5	134.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.6%

MIN +2.5%

SAC -6.0%

MIN +17.5%

MIN +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.6	87.5	89.6	102.8
season	14.9	15.3		102.2	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.4	14.5	15.3	15.4	15.1
MIN	14.0	14.8	14.1	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	49	49	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.36	14	-16	30	14.7	15.6	-0.92	15.2	14.5	0.67
Isaiah Thomas	33	32	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.21	8	-10	18	15.4	15.0	0.38	17.8	13.4	4.48
Jimmer Fredette	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-14	26	14.2	15.6	-1.48	17.1	13.7	3.41
Francisco Garcia	1	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	0	-2	28.0	15.0	12.99	5.5	15.1	-9.55
Donte Greene	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.44	9	-11	20	14.5	15.7	-1.16	15.8	14.0	1.82
Jason Thompson	52	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	4	-10	15.6	14.6	1.02	13.6	16.2	-2.58
JJ Hickson	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-6	10	14.7	15.6	-0.93	16.0	13.6	2.35
John Salmons	50	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	9	-20	15.7	14.5	1.16	14.0	15.8	-1.82
Charles Hayes	40	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	13	-28	15.3	15.0	0.31	15.0	14.7	0.34
Tyreke Evans	63	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	8	-18	15.0	15.4	-0.38	13.4	17.8	-4.48
Marcus Thornton	64	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.15	-13	11	-24	15.6	14.2	1.48	13.7	17.1	-3.41

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	57	55	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-9	20	13.8	16.4	-2.58	15.3	14.9	0.47
Ricky Rubio	75	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-9	20	13.7	19.1	-5.43	15.4	14.2	1.23
Nikola Pekovic	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	0	2	13.9	18.1	-4.15	15.3	14.5	0.86
Michael Beasley	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	2	-2	15.2	14.4	0.82	15.8	14.0	1.79
Wesley Johnson	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-9	20	14.1	15.7	-1.62	15.3	15.0	0.37
Luke Ridnour	65	62	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	8	-14	15.6	13.4	2.21	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Jose Juan Barea	40	40	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.46	-11	13	-24	16.4	13.7	2.69	14.5	15.6	-1.02
Brad Miller	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	2	-2	18.1	13.9	4.15	14.5	15.3	-0.86
Anthony Tolliver	39	41	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	10	-18	16.4	13.8	2.58	14.9	15.3	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.72,1	92.9%
MIL 98, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.91,0.79,0.91,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.58,1	92.8%
DAL 86, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.82,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,1	92.7%