NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	7.6 [254]		MVP	Louis Williams (PHI): +46.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	7.3 [197]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -44.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Goudelock	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	13	62%	0.24	5	-0.13	6	67%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.26,-0.38,-0.44	-0.04	-0.41	-0.01	26	50%	-0.24	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.43,0.47,0.46	0.46	0.16	0.31	0.01	12	75%	0.52	1	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	5	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	9	52%	0.11	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	3.3	28.6	14.7	23.3	3.2	34.5	130.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +66.3%

LAL -8.3%

LAL -45.9%

PHI +36.4%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.9	15.4	15.6	104.7	109.2	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		103.8	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.1		97.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.5	18.2	16.2	18.8	17.9
PHI	17.5	14.5	16.5	13.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	42	43	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.12	5	-10	15	17.2	18.6	-1.33	16.1	14.7	1.48
Andrew Goudelock	36	36	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.07	6	-11	17	17.7	18.1	-0.39	16.4	14.7	1.66
Matt Barnes	40	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-8	11	17.9	17.9	0.06	15.5	15.3	0.17
Jason Kapono	7	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	1	-7	20.1	17.7	2.42	13.2	15.6	-2.36
Kobe Bryant	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-6	7	17.7	20.1	-2.42	15.6	13.2	2.36
Metta World Peace	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	5	-15	17.9	17.9	-0.06	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Andrew Bynum	64	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	0	-5	18.5	16.3	2.21	14.9	17.0	-2.09
Pau Gasol	66	64	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.47	-8	3	-11	17.8	18.3	-0.50	15.4	15.4	-0.00
Derek Fisher	50	51	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.43	-11	6	-17	18.1	17.7	0.39	14.7	16.4	-1.66

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	68	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-4	13	15.4	15.5	-0.17	18.0	17.5	0.50
Jrue Holiday	65	64	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-6	17	15.1	16.4	-1.30	18.4	16.4	2.03
Nikola Vucevic	44	43	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-4	13	15.2	15.6	-0.42	18.3	17.6	0.67
Louis Williams	47	46	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	2	1	14.3	16.7	-2.42	18.0	17.8	0.13
Spencer Hawes	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	6	-7	15.3	15.6	-0.24	18.5	16.7	1.79
Lavoy Allen	26	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	-2	9	16.4	15.0	1.47	18.5	17.7	0.85
Evan Turner	41	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	5	-5	15.3	15.5	-0.14	16.9	18.8	-1.81
Thaddeus Young	44	44	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.07	-7	12	-19	15.8	15.0	0.77	17.1	18.8	-1.69
Jodie Meeks	42	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.11	-6	11	-17	16.6	14.3	2.28	17.2	18.7	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.65,0.48,0.43,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.71,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.12,0.15,0.45,0.9,0.99,1	91.6%
LAL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.68,0.99,1	91.4%
MIL 105, WAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.7,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.54,0.85,0.96,1	91.3%