NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	8.3 [170]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +23.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	4.7 [90]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -16.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.08	-0.04	9	52%	0.17	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05
Brendan Haywood	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	77%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	69%	0.19	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	35%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.06	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	2	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.18,-0.17	-0.02	-0.15	-0.01	14	55%	0.05	4	-0.22	3	100%	0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	17	57%	0.28	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.15	0.01	13	61%	0.22	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	12	48%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mychel Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.02	18	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	11	25%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	35.1	15.8	21.4	2.4	28.6	130.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +6.7%

DAL -16.8%

CLE +16.7%

CLE +44.5%

DAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.6	98.9	100.0	102.8
season	15.5	15.5		101.6	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.5		107.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	15.9	16.3	17.8	16.3
CLE	16.5	14.8	15.0	16.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	47	49	0.62	-1.12	1.74	0.04	20	-23	43	16.2	16.5	-0.29	15.9	15.4	0.43
Rodrigue Beaubois	38	40	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.11	5	-8	13	16.2	16.5	-0.33	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Brendan Haywood	38	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	2	-7	16.6	16.2	0.36	15.3	15.9	-0.66
Jason Terry	62	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-8	13	16.2	16.7	-0.46	16.1	14.7	1.36
Vince Carter	32	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	10	-23	16.4	16.3	0.09	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Brandan Wright	51	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-5	7	16.2	16.6	-0.36	15.9	15.3	0.66
Dirk Nowitzki	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	17.3	13.7	3.64	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Delonte West	52	53	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.50	-10	7	-17	16.5	16.2	0.32	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Shawn Marion	59	59	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.58	-16	13	-29	15.5	18.0	-2.44	16.6	13.9	2.66

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	61	60	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.46	21	-18	39	15.8	15.4	0.44	17.5	13.9	3.69
Anderson Varejao	61	60	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.50	16	-13	29	16.2	14.5	1.73	16.9	15.1	1.80
Kyrie Irving	67	67	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-9	21	15.3	16.8	-1.54	17.0	14.3	2.70
Mychel Thompson	37	37	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-12	27	14.9	16.2	-1.25	16.6	16.2	0.38
Ramon Sessions	55	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.45	-9	12	-21	15.9	15.3	0.63	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Omri Casspi	57	56	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	1	1	15.8	15.4	0.35	15.9	17.1	-1.23
Alonzo Gee	57	54	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.33	-11	14	-25	16.2	14.7	1.57	16.0	16.9	-0.89
Semih Erden	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	9	-15	12.9	16.1	-3.19	14.7	16.6	-1.94
Ryan Hollins	17	17	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.13	-7	10	-17	15.7	15.6	0.06	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Luke Harangody	30	29	-0.58	1.08	-1.66	-0.05	-18	21	-39	15.4	15.8	-0.44	13.9	17.5	-3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, CLE 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.69,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.27,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.9,1	89.2%
TOR 93, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.43,0.42,1	88.3%
DAL 93, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.84,1	88.3%