NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	3.6 [871]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +18.2%
New Jersey Nets	73		Comeback	1.2 [380]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -10.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.06	12	67%	0.18	0	0.00	16	69%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Solomon Alabi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Gary Forbes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	20	52%	0.06	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.8	14.7	26.5	2.3	28.6	125.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.4%

TOR +3.8%

NJN -3.4%

TOR +9.3%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	17.0	17.1	15.6	111.9	85.9	102.8
season	16.5	16.2		98.9	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.2		107.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.6	15.5	17.2	17.6	17.0
NJN	18.4	19.7	14.9	16.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.14	23	-2	25	17.1	16.7	0.40	17.4	16.5	0.82
DeMar DeRozan	71	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	2	17	17.8	12.4	5.40	16.4	21.5	-5.09
James Johnson	35	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	12	-3	16.5	17.3	-0.80	18.6	16.0	2.57
Jose Calderon	59	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	10	1	16.8	17.2	-0.35	17.1	17.3	-0.18
Ed Davis	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	8	5	17.2	16.6	0.64	16.5	17.9	-1.38
Amir Johnson	33	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	15	-9	16.2	17.5	-1.27	18.5	16.2	2.33
Linas Kleiza	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	9	3	17.3	16.5	0.80	16.0	18.6	-2.57
Gary Forbes	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	13	-5	16.1	17.7	-1.63	16.9	17.3	-0.34
Rasual Butler	22	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	19	-17	15.8	17.4	-1.60	19.7	16.4	3.29
Solomon Alabi	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	20.0	16.8	3.20	12.5	17.4	-4.86

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Williams	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	15.2	17.3	-2.07	18.3	16.8	1.45
Sundiata Gaines	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	14.7	17.6	-2.88	18.1	16.7	1.33
DeShawn Stevenson	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-20	19	18.8	16.5	2.28	15.2	17.5	-2.29
Johan Petro	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-18	15	16.7	17.5	-0.72	17.0	16.9	0.14
Jordan Farmar	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-14	7	18.6	16.1	2.45	16.2	17.5	-1.38
Shawne Williams	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-14	7	15.5	19.2	-3.70	17.4	16.4	0.99
MarShon Brooks	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.11	-10	-11	1	15.7	18.4	-2.65	17.3	16.6	0.66
Shelden Williams	23	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-8	-5	18.5	16.6	1.85	18.2	16.5	1.70
Deron Williams	58	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-10	-1	17.3	16.7	0.62	17.7	15.5	2.23
Larry Owens	36	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-8	-5	15.9	18.0	-2.10	18.5	15.8	2.68
Kris Humphries	54	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	-4	-13	18.2	15.3	2.89	15.7	19.0	-3.31
Anthony Morrow	48	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	-2	-17	18.2	15.7	2.48	15.8	18.5	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.9%
TOR 106, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAL 98, MIL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%