NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	8.1 [196]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +18.0%
Miami Heat	97		Comeback	1.1 [676]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): -30.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	61%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.1	0.02	-0.13	-0.01	28	49%	-0.05	2	-0.05	14	86%	-0.19
Richard Hamilton	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3	-0.19	-0.11	0.00	16	31%	-0.11	5	-0.19	4	75%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.02	14	67%	0.18	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	1	150%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.17	-0.00	23	57%	0.03	6	-0.17	15	67%	-0.19
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	16	36%	-0.02	4	-0.15	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.4	32.5	19.5	29.4	3.5	44.6	160.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +23.5%

MIA +0.3%

CHI -2.3%

MIA +10.0%

MIA +18.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIA	NBA	CHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.0	15.6	15.6	94.9	100.0	102.8
season	16.0	15.5		104.7	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.9		98.8	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	14.5	12.6	13.3	14.0
MIA	13.9	14.3	16.9	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	61	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.35	7	-11	18	13.0	15.6	-2.53	15.9	14.9	1.00
Omer Asik	12	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	2	-8	12.3	14.2	-1.89	20.3	15.0	5.32
John Lucas III	7	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	4	-12	16.6	13.8	2.78	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Joakim Noah	67	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	14.8	12.3	2.49	14.5	18.1	-3.63
Kyle Korver	32	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-2	0	14.7	13.7	0.99	18.1	14.4	3.69
Derrick Rose	91	90	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-8	12	13.8	16.6	-2.78	15.6	14.4	1.22
Richard Hamilton	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-6	8	13.9	14.4	-0.48	14.7	18.9	-4.27
Ronnie Brewer	88	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	4	-12	13.8	15.3	-1.46	15.4	16.5	-1.01
Carlos Boozer	55	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	2	-8	14.7	13.1	1.64	15.5	15.6	-0.05

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	84	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	1	2	15.4	16.7	-1.31	13.7	16.1	-2.39
Udonis Haslem	67	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-3	10	16.0	14.5	1.53	13.7	14.6	-0.90
Mario Chalmers	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-2	8	14.6	17.3	-2.69	14.0	13.9	0.12
Dwyane Wade	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-1	6	14.7	17.4	-2.71	14.1	13.8	0.25
Chris Bosh	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	1	2	14.8	18.1	-3.30	14.3	12.9	1.39
Mike Miller	27	28	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-3	10	17.0	15.0	2.05	15.0	13.6	1.41
Shane Battier	36	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	5	-6	17.3	14.5	2.83	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Joel Anthony	30	32	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	7	-10	14.5	16.0	-1.53	14.6	13.7	0.90
Eddy Curry	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	18.0	15.5	2.55	8.7	14.2	-5.46
Norris Cole	32	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	8	-12	17.8	14.4	3.37	14.3	13.8	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.0%
PHI 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	92.9%
DEN 98, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.81,0.93,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.93,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.6%