NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	7.9 [212]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +49.8%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	1.5 [399]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): -12.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.12	-0.02	14	55%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.07	-0.03	0.10	0.01	15	53%	0.16	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Sam Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	13	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Selby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.5	0.50	0.08	0.42	0.00	14	56%	0.50	0	0.00	8	75%	0.13
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.01	8	56%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	38%	0.03	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	14	68%	0.12	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	9	11%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	17	35%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	31.1	15.6	29.1	2.5	33.9	139.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -23.4%

PHX +39.7%

PHX +22.0%

PHX +4.5%

PHX +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	91.3	93.5	102.8
season	15.6	15.0		102.0	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	14.0	14.8	13.6	14.9
PHX	14.0	15.4	17.9	18.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Selby	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-3	4	14.2	15.1	-0.97	18.5	15.8	2.77
Hamed Haddadi	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-2	2	11.8	15.4	-3.55	15.1	16.6	-1.46
Dante Cunningham	47	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-12	22	13.4	16.5	-3.02	18.0	14.8	3.26
Marreese Speights	32	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	17.2	13.7	3.42	16.3	16.4	-0.18
O.J. Mayo	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-8	14	13.7	16.2	-2.50	18.3	14.5	3.80
Tony Allen	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	6	-14	16.2	13.7	2.50	14.5	18.3	-3.80
Sam Young	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	9	-20	12.8	15.8	-2.99	14.4	17.3	-2.91
Rudy Gay	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	15.6	11.0	4.63	16.2	17.3	-1.14
Marc Gasol	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	0	-2	15.4	11.8	3.55	16.6	15.1	1.46
Mike Conley	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	1	-4	15.1	14.2	0.97	15.8	18.5	-2.77

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	63	61	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-7	16	15.7	17.9	-2.21	15.2	14.3	0.91
Grant Hill	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-5	12	15.6	18.5	-2.94	15.7	12.8	2.97
Jared Dudley	80	81	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-2	6	15.8	20.2	-4.35	15.2	13.1	2.08
Marcin Gortat	83	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	1	0	16.6	14.4	2.15	15.1	13.2	1.89
Hakim Warrick	37	37	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	-3	8	15.6	16.9	-1.36	13.6	15.8	-2.27
Michael Redd	9	11	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	1	0	15.9	16.4	-0.54	12.8	15.2	-2.39
Markieff Morris	38	40	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	5	-8	16.8	16.1	0.74	13.8	15.8	-2.03
Channing Frye	26	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	16.2	16.4	-0.21	18.3	13.7	4.56
Ronnie Price	12	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	20.2	15.8	4.35	13.1	15.2	-2.08
Sebastian Telfair	29	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	9	-16	17.9	15.7	2.21	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Josh Childress	16	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	8	-14	20.0	15.6	4.38	12.7	15.3	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.73,1	92.5%
ATL 104, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	92.4%
MIA 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.82,1	92.2%