NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	71		Excitement	2.8 [974]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +12.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	1.4 [921]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): -15.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	11	42%	0.00	4	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Michael Redd	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shannon Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	54%	-0.02	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	0.03	10	33%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	16	62%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	11	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	33%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	7	64%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.10	13	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	6	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.3	15.7	24.1	1.8	28.2	125.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +27.0%

POR +10.5%

POR +9.8%

POR +4.1%

PHX -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	13.7	15.6	69.6	106.9	102.8
season	15.0	15.7		104.7	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	18.0	14.2	14.2	14.6
POR	12.9	13.3	15.1	13.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	33	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-33	28	14.3	14.7	-0.44	13.4	13.8	-0.36
Ronnie Price	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.19	-8	-30	22	13.6	15.0	-1.37	14.0	13.5	0.51
Michael Redd	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-36	34	19.6	14.0	5.58	13.7	13.7	0.04
Grant Hill	47	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.37	-18	-20	2	14.6	14.5	0.13	14.4	13.0	1.46
Markieff Morris	39	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.30	-16	-22	6	15.7	13.9	1.86	12.5	14.4	-1.96
Steve Nash	53	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-24	10	14.4	14.8	-0.40	13.7	13.6	0.17
Marcin Gortat	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.36	-20	-18	-2	14.4	14.8	-0.36	14.1	13.0	1.11
Channing Frye	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.34	-21	-17	-4	13.7	15.7	-1.99	14.3	12.9	1.39
Sebastian Telfair	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.35	-23	-15	-8	14.8	14.4	0.40	13.6	13.7	-0.17
Hakim Warrick	48	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.23	-19	-19	0	14.9	14.3	0.54	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Shannon Brown	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	-21	4	14.5	14.6	-0.17	12.1	14.5	-2.36
Jared Dudley	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.44	-27	-11	-16	14.3	14.8	-0.45	14.0	13.4	0.56

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	52	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.18	21	17	4	13.6	13.7	-0.14	15.7	13.4	2.25
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.45	30	8	22	13.8	13.4	0.47	15.0	13.7	1.26
Gerald Wallace	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.51	29	9	20	14.0	13.1	0.87	13.4	16.2	-2.80
Nicolas Batum	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.13	16	22	-6	13.8	13.5	0.35	15.4	13.6	1.76
Kurt Thomas	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	23	-8	13.5	13.8	-0.28	15.8	13.8	1.94
Wesley Matthews	62	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.57	30	8	22	14.1	13.0	1.06	15.0	13.9	1.00
Marcus Camby	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.44	21	17	4	14.3	13.0	1.25	13.8	15.3	-1.43
Raymond Felton	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.35	17	21	-4	14.1	13.3	0.74	14.0	15.1	-1.05
Craig Smith	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	33	-28	13.5	13.7	-0.22	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Luke Babbitt	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	36	-34	10.3	14.0	-3.66	13.0	14.7	-1.72
Elliot Williams	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	38	-38	12.8	13.9	-1.08	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Nolan Smith	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	36	-34	10.3	14.0	-3.66	13.0	14.7	-1.72
Chris Johnson	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	36	-34	11.9	14.0	-2.10	13.8	14.7	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
PHX 83, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
WAS 85, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%