inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 83 Excitement4.2 [769] MVPMatt Bonner (SAS): +17.8%
San Antonio Spurs 105 Comeback1.4 [731] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -15.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Teague0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.020.061371%0.0900.00250%-0.02
Kirk Hinrich0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.02487%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Ivan Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.02657%0.052-0.022100%0.00
Marvin Williams0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01667%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01450%0.001-0.00250%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Willie Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.04233%-0.023-0.022100%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.040.041242%-0.073-0.0800%0.00
Josh Smith-0.160,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.040.021736%-0.063-0.09250%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.140.040.001085%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.020.03684%0.122-0.03786%-0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01667%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01956%0.041-0.0200%0.00
James Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malcolm Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Neal00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02757%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.011040%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00740%-0.001-0.0310%-0.02
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.021265%0.046-0.07250%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.020.021348%-0.033-0.06560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.60.225.115.523.32.330.5119.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +33.4%
SAS +1.3%
SAS +12.3%
ATL -0.2%
SAS +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLSASNBAATLSASNBA
this game15.215.015.687.4109.4102.8
season15.715.3102.5109.1
opponent15.215.9101.599.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.617.014.714.615.2
SAS15.415.116.013.715.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo12110.00-0.500.500.03-1-212013.415.4-1.9913.715.2-1.44
Jerry Stackhouse12110.00-0.500.500.03-1-212013.415.4-1.9913.715.2-1.44
Jeff Teague5559-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-212015.914.11.7815.214.60.62
Josh Smith5962-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-222215.315.00.2515.813.52.32
Zaza Pachulia4953-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-191616.513.82.7115.015.0-0.08
Marvin Williams5254-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-191615.115.2-0.0916.413.23.17
Joe Johnson6063-0.19-0.310.13-0.13-2-201815.314.90.4815.414.21.25
Willie Green3533-0.31-0.19-0.130.27-20-2-1814.915.3-0.4814.215.4-1.25
Tracy McGrady3131-0.33-0.17-0.160.20-18-4-1415.914.81.1113.015.9-2.91
Ivan Johnson4643-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-19-3-1613.816.5-2.7115.015.00.08
Vladimir Radmanovic3634-0.37-0.13-0.240.27-220-2215.015.3-0.2513.515.8-2.32
Kirk Hinrich2826-0.38-0.12-0.260.21-20-2-1814.415.5-1.0315.015.0-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter41410.51-0.010.52-0.2827-53213.915.8-1.8714.915.4-0.45
Matt Bonner36360.440.060.380.06139414.515.3-0.8417.213.93.37
Cory Joseph37380.430.070.36-0.01157812.916.3-3.3916.214.51.67
Danny Green54540.410.090.32-0.151931614.216.0-1.8215.215.10.15
Kawhi Leonard59580.310.190.110.04913-415.014.90.0915.414.80.52
Gary Neal15150.170.33-0.16-0.06814-613.915.2-1.3418.914.44.48
Richard Jefferson54530.110.39-0.28-0.09715-816.313.42.9214.316.3-2.02
Tony Parker59570.070.43-0.36-0.14715-816.312.93.3914.516.2-1.67
DeJuan Blair63620.060.44-0.38-0.14715-815.314.40.8814.017.3-3.24
James Anderson10100.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2013.915.1-1.2312.715.4-2.75
Malcolm Thomas10100.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2013.915.1-1.2312.715.4-2.75
Tim Duncan4241-0.010.51-0.520.11-426-3016.314.02.3315.914.61.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 82, HOU 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
LAC 78, DEN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%
MIL 85, CHA 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,1,194.9%