NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	9.1 [105]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +36.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	3.4 [321]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -31.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.16,-0.07,0.01,0.25,0.37	0.02	0.36	0.01	21	52%	0.47	2	-0.11	8	100%	0.12
Josh Smith	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.26	0.09	0.20	0.02	14	58%	0.26	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	47%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.09	-0.21	0.02	15	48%	-0.01	6	-0.31	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.17	-0.01	10	52%	0.26	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	48%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.08
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	21	45%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.22	-0.03	-0.18	0.01	15	49%	-0.08	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	23.2	15.7	20.6	2.7	35.5	123.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +62.2%

ATL +11.4%

MIL -23.8%

MIL -8.2%

ATL +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	15.6	100.0	93.9	102.8
season	15.7	14.6		102.5	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		103.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	14.6	14.2	15.2	14.5
MIL	15.6	14.8	15.8	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	80	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-10	25	14.3	15.1	-0.81	15.5	13.2	2.23
Joe Johnson	83	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-7	19	14.4	14.9	-0.47	15.3	13.6	1.76
Jeff Teague	83	84	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	14.5	14.4	0.03	15.2	14.2	1.01
Zaza Pachulia	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	2	1	14.8	13.2	1.55	16.1	11.8	4.30
Tracy McGrady	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	4	-3	14.7	14.2	0.52	13.5	17.1	-3.58
Marvin Williams	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	-1	7	13.6	15.2	-1.63	16.5	13.9	2.60
Ivan Johnson	19	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	14.5	14.4	0.09	12.6	15.8	-3.21
Jannero Pargo	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	9	-13	14.4	14.5	-0.03	14.2	15.2	-1.01
Willie Green	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	12	-19	14.9	14.4	0.47	13.6	15.3	-1.76
Vladimir Radmanovic	17	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	15	-25	15.1	14.3	0.81	13.2	15.5	-2.23

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-1	-3	16.8	13.9	2.89	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Beno Udrih	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	15.2	15.1	0.10	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Andrew Bogut	49	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	16.4	13.8	2.65	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Carlos Delfino	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-1	-3	17.3	13.7	3.56	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Shaun Livingston	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	2	-9	18.2	13.5	4.72	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Stephen Jackson	35	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	13.3	16.1	-2.75	14.2	14.6	-0.34
Mike Dunleavy	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-7	9	13.5	18.2	-4.72	14.9	13.5	1.42
Drew Gooden	49	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	13.8	16.4	-2.65	14.8	14.2	0.61
Brandon Jennings	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	15.1	15.2	-0.10	14.5	14.2	0.26
Ersan Ilyasova	59	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-4	3	13.9	16.8	-2.89	14.5	14.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 100, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.55,0.34,0.58,0	92.5%
SAC 91, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.42,0	90.9%
IND 80, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.26,0	90.7%