NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	4.5 [724]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +16.0%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.3 [661]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -17.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Mullens	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	17	55%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	18	59%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.02	22	48%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	15	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	11	46%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	37%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	27.3	15.6	29.0	2.4	25.5	123.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.4%

CHA -5.3%

CHA -2.1%

CHI +16.6%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.6	98.9	106.7	102.8
season	16.3	16.0		94.1	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.0		97.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.8	16.8	14.3	16.1	15.7
CHI	13.6	17.5	17.0	18.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	14	15	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-11	16	17.8	15.3	2.47	17.1	16.4	0.70
Cory Higgins	24	26	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.29	13	-19	32	18.6	14.7	3.93	18.9	15.5	3.39
Matt Carroll	32	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.27	12	-18	30	17.1	14.9	2.16	18.0	15.6	2.36
Eduardo Najera	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-15	24	16.9	15.6	1.29	20.9	16.0	4.90
Bismack Biyombo	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-7	8	18.9	14.9	3.99	17.8	16.2	1.62
Derrick Brown	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-8	10	16.3	15.2	1.11	17.6	15.4	2.17
Boris Diaw	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	14.9	16.1	-1.17	18.0	15.8	2.12
Tyrus Thomas	57	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	6	-18	15.6	15.9	-0.28	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Byron Mullens	55	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	9	-24	14.5	17.6	-3.16	15.3	18.3	-2.97
Gerald Henderson	67	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	7	-20	14.9	17.9	-2.97	15.7	18.5	-2.82
D.J. Augustin	53	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	9	-24	14.6	17.2	-2.62	15.4	17.9	-2.50
Kemba Walker	51	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	11	-28	15.1	16.5	-1.39	15.3	17.9	-2.54

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	74	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-11	28	16.1	18.6	-2.55	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Omer Asik	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-1	8	16.6	16.2	0.38	15.7	15.6	0.11
Richard Hamilton	59	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-3	12	16.7	16.0	0.73	16.1	15.1	0.99
Mike James	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	-3	12	16.4	16.5	-0.08	16.6	15.2	1.35
CJ Watson	59	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	9	-12	16.5	16.4	0.08	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Kyle Korver	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	3	0	17.3	15.7	1.61	15.6	15.8	-0.14
Carlos Boozer	68	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	10	-14	16.4	16.8	-0.43	15.9	15.0	0.98
Ronnie Brewer	30	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	9	-12	16.0	16.7	-0.73	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Brian Scalabrine	11	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	16.3	16.5	-0.24	14.6	15.8	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAL 97, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MEM 67, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%