NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	8.8 [123]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +53.3%
Golden State Warriors	91		Comeback	1.7 [552]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -38.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.53	0.08	0.46	0.00	9	74%	0.59	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.3	0.14	0.17	0.02	16	72%	0.34	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.38	-0.13	-0.26	-0.01	12	22%	-0.35	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	10	82%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	-0.00	20	57%	0.32	2	-0.23	4	75%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	15	40%	0.02	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	15	31%	-0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.5	26.0	15.8	26.7	0.2	30.1	123.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -13.3%

IND +17.9%

IND +4.4%

IND +34.8%

IND +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.6	97.9	94.8	102.8
season	15.7	15.2		104.2	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	16.2	15.4	16.9	15.8
GSW	14.1	12.6	15.3	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-6	15	15.4	16.9	-1.53	15.0	12.2	2.77
George Hill	61	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	16.2	15.0	1.23	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Darren Collison	76	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	15.6	16.3	-0.69	14.6	12.7	1.95
Danny Granger	63	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-4	11	16.0	15.4	0.59	14.6	13.5	1.07
Roy Hibbert	68	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	3	-3	15.7	15.7	0.00	14.4	13.8	0.61
Tyler Hansbrough	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	1	1	16.0	15.5	0.53	13.4	14.9	-1.50
Paul George	44	45	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	-1	5	15.0	16.4	-1.34	14.9	13.7	1.24
Dahntay Jones	33	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	7	-11	15.4	16.0	-0.59	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Lou Amundson	11	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	17.2	15.6	1.62	11.5	14.6	-3.07
Lance Stephenson	11	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	17.2	15.6	1.62	11.5	14.6	-3.07

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	36	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-10	17	13.3	14.8	-1.51	16.7	15.1	1.59
Klay Thompson	27	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-9	15	13.6	14.5	-0.86	16.0	15.7	0.30
Dorell Wright	60	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	14.6	13.6	1.02	16.1	15.1	0.98
Nate Robinson	35	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-4	5	14.7	14.0	0.73	16.1	15.6	0.50
Dominic McGuire	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-7	11	13.1	14.7	-1.66	14.6	16.2	-1.62
Brandon Rush	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-4	5	13.9	14.5	-0.51	15.8	15.7	0.03
Andris Biedrins	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	2	-7	15.0	13.5	1.53	15.2	16.3	-1.07
Stephen Curry	61	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	1	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.73	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Monta Ellis	69	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	6	-15	14.5	13.6	0.86	15.7	16.0	-0.30
David Lee	76	74	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	11	-25	14.5	13.3	1.20	15.7	15.8	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	93.2%
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	93.2%
ORL 87, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.27,0	92.3%