NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	8.1 [183]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +18.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	7.9 [84]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -23.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.18	0.01	0.17	-0.01	14	50%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	4	83%	0.17	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	16	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	16	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.07
Ramon Sessions	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	5	17%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.08	0.01	9	75%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	17	62%	0.18	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	9	56%	-0.04
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	11	35%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	21	32%	-0.05	2	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	31.6	15.0	28.4	1.0	32.3	134.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.3%

CLE +18.5%

CHA -8.0%

CLE +11.9%

CHA -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	13.5	16.5	15.6	106.2	97.9	102.8
season	15.5	16.3		99.5	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.6		108.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	14.8	11.6	14.5	13.5
CHA	17.4	14.6	16.1	18.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	0	8	13.3	13.7	-0.39	17.2	14.8	2.33
Antawn Jamison	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-2	12	12.3	17.0	-4.78	16.2	17.7	-1.50
Ramon Sessions	41	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	4	0	13.9	13.1	0.82	17.0	16.1	0.91
Omri Casspi	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-6	20	11.8	15.7	-3.88	15.8	17.5	-1.74
Tristan Thompson	36	38	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	14.5	12.8	1.71	17.1	16.2	0.89
Anderson Varejao	67	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	2	4	13.2	14.0	-0.83	16.7	16.1	0.63
Daniel Gibson	54	52	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	5	-2	13.7	13.1	0.65	15.1	18.3	-3.24
Anthony Parker	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	1	6	12.8	13.6	-0.84	18.4	16.1	2.34
Alonzo Gee	51	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.33	-12	20	-32	15.0	11.8	3.21	16.9	16.2	0.75
Semih Erden	17	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	13	-18	17.2	12.6	4.59	16.2	16.6	-0.46

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	39	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-18	28	16.8	16.4	0.38	14.5	12.8	1.67
Tyrus Thomas	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-5	2	17.3	16.2	1.11	12.7	13.9	-1.16
Cory Higgins	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-11	14	15.8	16.8	-1.00	15.6	12.8	2.83
Gerald Henderson	71	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	16.1	17.7	-1.54	12.8	15.5	-2.71
Byron Mullens	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	16.5	16.5	0.03	13.5	13.3	0.26
Boris Diaw	25	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	16.5	16.5	-0.03	13.3	13.5	-0.26
D.J. Augustin	81	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	2	-12	16.8	15.2	1.59	13.1	15.6	-2.54
DJ White	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-3	-2	16.2	17.3	-1.11	13.9	12.7	1.16
Kemba Walker	74	75	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.19	-21	13	-34	16.8	15.8	1.00	13.4	13.8	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 78, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0	90.3%
MEM 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.08,0	89.5%
ATL 97, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.22,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.15,0	88.8%