NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	82		Excitement	4.6 [715]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +16.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.2 [947]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -13.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	83%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darington Hobson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	18	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	12	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	11	29%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	14	75%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	17	71%	0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	17	47%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	24.1	16.7	25.2	2.3	25.3	118.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.6%

PHI +3.8%

PHI +0.8%

PHI +18.0%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.6	94.3	106.8	102.8
season	14.6	15.6		103.8	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.6		97.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.2	17.2	15.5	16.0	16.7
PHI	13.7	16.3	13.9	21.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	11.0	17.0	-5.95	19.7	16.0	3.62
Darington Hobson	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	11.0	17.0	-5.95	19.7	16.0	3.62
Drew Gooden	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-8	4	17.5	16.7	0.83	16.4	16.1	0.22
Jon Leuer	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	17.7	16.0	1.76	14.6	17.4	-2.79
Shaun Livingston	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.9	16.9	-0.96	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Tobias Harris	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-13	14	16.7	16.8	-0.03	16.5	15.9	0.55
Brandon Jennings	51	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-7	2	16.8	16.6	0.18	17.2	14.7	2.50
Carlos Delfino	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	16.9	16.3	0.66	16.9	14.3	2.53
Ersan Ilyasova	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	15.5	17.5	-2.02	15.0	16.9	-1.82
Beno Udrih	37	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	16.8	16.7	0.11	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Stephen Jackson	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	16.9	15.8	1.15	15.9	17.3	-1.40
Andrew Bogut	76	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-3	-6	16.9	15.7	1.17	16.0	17.3	-1.26

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	3	6	15.0	18.0	-2.98	17.0	16.3	0.74
Jrue Holiday	80	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	16.1	17.1	-1.05	16.5	19.1	-2.62
Thaddeus Young	48	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	3	6	17.7	14.3	3.43	16.0	17.6	-1.57
Spencer Hawes	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	1	10	16.0	16.7	-0.69	16.8	16.7	0.08
Andre Iguodala	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	6	0	16.1	16.7	-0.67	16.7	17.1	-0.39
Louis Williams	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	8	-4	18.0	14.3	3.65	16.4	17.1	-0.63
Andres Nocioni	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	6	0	16.7	16.1	0.67	17.1	16.7	0.39
Tony Battie	23	23	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	10	-8	16.3	16.1	0.12	17.4	16.5	0.93
Elton Brand	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	9	-6	14.3	17.7	-3.43	17.6	16.0	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHX 97, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 81, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.1%