inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 83 Excitement2.7 [995] MVPAl Harrington (DEN): +6.1%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback1.2 [1030] LVPJason Thompson (SAC): -8.2%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.022050%0.0300.006100%0.02
DeMarcus Cousins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.170.000.161279%0.022-0.01989%0.01
Travis Outlaw0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.15-0.00-0.14922%0.004-0.0200%0.00
Francisco Garcia-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0110%-0.0300.0010%-0.01
Charles Hayes-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01460%0.013-0.042100%0.01
Jimmer Fredette-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.031327%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
John Salmons-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01720%-0.0600.001100%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.070,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.03930%-0.042-0.032100%0.00
Tyreke Evans-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.011036%-0.042-0.042100%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.0230%-0.042-0.0410%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.031075%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00-0.02665%0.073-0.05560%-0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02869%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.080.00-0.08656%0.025-0.01633%-0.03
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07643%0.023-0.022100%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.00667%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00667%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04287%0.0010.00475%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.023100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04580%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01957%0.023-0.023100%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04940%-0.012-0.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.528.515.826.23.325.7124.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +53.9%
SAC -5.9%
DEN +4.0%
SAC -2.4%
DEN +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game15.711.915.679.8104.8102.8
season14.914.5102.2107.5
opponent15.815.1104.5107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC16.615.316.314.715.7
DEN11.711.413.011.511.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Outlaw15160.00-0.500.50-0.062-293112.516.2-3.7010.712.1-1.40
JJ Hickson5152-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-262515.515.9-0.4512.611.21.46
Isaiah Thomas6161-0.18-0.320.130.20-13-14115.615.9-0.3111.911.80.14
Charles Hayes4545-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-17716.515.11.3913.011.02.01
Francisco Garcia1211-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-17716.015.70.3410.312.1-1.79
John Salmons5860-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-7-201315.915.50.4412.311.30.95
Marcus Thornton7172-0.25-0.250.000.19-15-12-316.114.91.1612.310.81.50
Jimmer Fredette6162-0.29-0.21-0.070.33-21-6-1515.615.9-0.3111.013.1-2.02
DeMarcus Cousins5859-0.30-0.20-0.100.20-17-10-715.316.2-0.9611.112.9-1.85
Tyreke Evans4949-0.32-0.18-0.150.09-14-13-115.815.60.2512.511.31.19
Jason Thompson3938-0.34-0.16-0.180.51-292-3116.115.40.6810.612.6-1.95

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Harrington44430.51-0.010.51-0.4031-43510.612.8-2.2116.615.11.50
Andre Miller43410.420.080.35-0.222251711.212.3-1.0916.515.21.38
Rudy Fernandez70680.310.190.11-0.342251711.313.0-1.6415.616.0-0.41
Danilo Gallinari53540.300.200.11-0.021116-512.511.21.3515.915.40.50
Chris Andersen40390.240.26-0.03-0.321981110.912.5-1.6216.515.21.22
Timofey Mozgov41410.200.30-0.100.02621-1514.010.53.4416.615.11.54
Ty Lawson54540.170.33-0.17-0.221314-112.810.91.8915.915.50.43
Kosta Koufos54540.160.34-0.190.07324-2112.511.21.3214.616.9-2.38
Corey Brewer42410.150.35-0.19-0.201215-310.512.8-2.2514.916.3-1.40
Arron Afflalo42430.050.45-0.410.19-532-3713.211.02.2715.915.60.35
Kenneth Faried23230.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2110.312.3-1.9614.516.0-1.57
DeMarre Carroll19190.000.50-0.500.06-229-3111.412.0-0.5613.716.2-2.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 84, PHX 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
IND 75, PHI 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
ATL 89, UTA 1080.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%