NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	75		Excitement	2.4 [1270]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +6.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.1 [634]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	35%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	16	31%	-0.05	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	14	23%	-0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.00	0.10	15	68%	0.06	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	67%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	14	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	6	17%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	24.4	16.3	26.5	1.7	27.3	124.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.1%

PHI +6.9%

PHI +3.2%

PHI +2.7%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.7	15.5	78.9	105.2	105.7
season	14.7	15.5		103.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	14.1	14.0	14.0	14.5
PHI	13.1	15.9	17.3	16.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-26	26	13.4	14.8	-1.37	17.0	15.3	1.62
Roy Hibbert	54	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-28	30	15.3	13.3	1.97	16.3	15.0	1.35
James Posey	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-21	16	14.4	14.5	-0.06	18.6	14.7	3.94
T.J. Ford	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.20	-11	-15	4	13.2	15.1	-1.96	16.8	15.1	1.64
Josh McRoberts	38	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	-15	4	14.8	14.2	0.63	15.7	15.7	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.21	-16	-10	-6	14.0	14.8	-0.79	13.3	17.4	-4.01
Mike Dunleavy	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	-8	-10	15.2	13.1	2.19	14.9	17.1	-2.26
Paul George	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.18	-16	-10	-6	12.3	15.4	-3.11	16.1	15.5	0.65
Danny Granger	77	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-8	-10	15.0	12.3	2.70	15.8	15.2	0.64
Darren Collison	62	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-11	-4	15.1	13.2	1.96	15.1	16.8	-1.64
Solomon Jones	33	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	-4	-18	13.2	15.1	-1.92	15.3	15.9	-0.54

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	60	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	5	16	15.5	16.0	-0.50	12.7	17.2	-4.51
Evan Turner	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.26	23	3	20	16.2	15.2	0.93	13.2	15.7	-2.54
Elton Brand	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.22	21	5	16	15.7	15.7	0.05	14.9	13.3	1.59
Andre Iguodala	79	79	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.36	25	1	24	15.7	15.5	0.19	15.1	11.5	3.56
Jrue Holiday	70	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	9	8	14.9	17.9	-3.07	15.2	12.7	2.46
Lou Williams	47	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.22	16	10	6	17.7	13.7	3.99	12.9	15.9	-2.96
Jason Kapono	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.21	11	15	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.78	13.3	14.9	-1.54
Marreese Speights	27	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.19	10	16	-6	15.9	15.6	0.23	14.3	14.5	-0.22
Spencer Hawes	28	27	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	31	-36	14.7	16.1	-1.32	17.2	13.4	3.80
Andres Nocioni	27	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.25	-9	35	-44	15.1	15.9	-0.80	17.0	13.5	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 78, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NYK 89, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CHA 73, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%