NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	7.9 [220]		MVP	Tony Allen (MEM): +39.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	3.5 [199]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -19.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.4	0.20	0.22	0.02	8	100%	0.40	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	9	56%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.12	-0.00	0.10	-0.02	17	50%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	13	37%	-0.02	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.09
Marc Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	11	25%	-0.13	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	21	59%	0.17	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.09	0.00	9	60%	0.19	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.08
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	10	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.01	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	16	32%	-0.06	5	-0.14	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	25.6	15.5	24.4	2.4	41.8	138.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -0.1%

MEM +42.3%

MIN -11.4%

MEM +23.3%

MIN -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.6	98.9	96.6	102.8
season	15.6	15.3		102.0	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.8	13.3	17.5	14.9	15.9
MIN	18.2	15.5	15.2	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	72	71	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-9	22	15.1	19.2	-4.09	16.4	14.9	1.42
Marc Gasol	65	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-5	14	14.9	18.5	-3.61	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Rudy Gay	77	75	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	15.8	16.5	-0.68	15.9	16.8	-0.84
Tony Allen	61	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-1	6	15.2	17.4	-2.20	16.2	15.8	0.47
O.J. Mayo	46	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	5	-6	16.2	15.6	0.64	15.7	16.5	-0.83
Quincy Pondexter	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	2	0	16.7	15.7	1.06	17.1	15.7	1.34
Dante Cunningham	32	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	-1	6	16.6	15.6	1.03	17.0	15.6	1.41
Josh Davis	25	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	7	-10	19.0	14.7	4.30	16.3	16.0	0.29
Sam Young	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	12	-20	15.6	16.1	-0.56	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Jeremy Pargo	19	18	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	13	-22	19.2	15.1	4.09	14.9	16.4	-1.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-5	6	15.6	16.4	-0.80	15.7	16.1	-0.35
Darko Milicic	41	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.18	-7	3	-10	16.4	15.8	0.62	16.0	15.9	0.10
Anthony Randolph	18	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-2	0	15.7	16.2	-0.52	14.6	16.2	-1.64
Wesley Johnson	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	2	-8	18.0	15.2	2.75	17.9	15.0	2.90
Derrick Williams	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-9	14	16.3	16.0	0.37	18.1	15.0	3.10
Anthony Tolliver	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-11	18	15.7	16.4	-0.74	16.6	15.4	1.20
Ricky Rubio	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.51	2	-6	8	15.2	18.0	-2.75	15.0	17.9	-2.90
Michael Beasley	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	16.0	16.5	-0.52	15.3	17.8	-2.44
Kevin Love	71	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	7	-18	16.2	15.4	0.79	15.6	17.5	-1.90
Luke Ridnour	56	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.47	-5	1	-6	16.4	15.6	0.80	16.1	15.7	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.34,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, GSW 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0	90.5%
HOU 100, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	90.4%
UTA 103, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0	90.0%