NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	80		Excitement	5.2 [618]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): +7.8%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	1.9 [622]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -29.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Trey Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	47%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Marco Belinelli	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	12	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.23	-0.09	-0.03	11	27%	-0.13	8	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	18	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	18	61%	0.11	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	27%	-0.04	1	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.7	29.8	15.6	24.2	2.4	25.6	122.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +18.2%

SAC +23.5%

NOH -17.5%

SAC +25.5%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.6	85.1	102.1	102.8
season	16.3	14.9		99.2	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.8	13.8	17.5	13.0	15.4
SAC	15.0	13.9	16.0	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Johnson	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.7	15.5	-2.81	10.0	15.5	-5.49
Gustavo Ayon	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	12.6	15.5	-2.94	8.8	15.6	-6.82
Al-Farouq Aminu	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-16	16	12.9	16.2	-3.37	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Chris Kaman	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-10	4	14.6	16.3	-1.72	15.8	14.6	1.24
Carl Landry	40	41	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-10	4	16.9	14.3	2.64	15.3	15.2	0.07
Jason Smith	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-8	0	13.3	16.2	-2.82	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Marco Belinelli	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-3	-10	16.2	13.2	2.92	15.3	15.2	0.14
Greivis Vasquez	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-15	14	14.1	17.1	-3.03	15.7	14.6	1.18
Emeka Okafor	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-8	0	16.3	13.4	2.86	15.3	15.1	0.19
Jarrett Jack	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	4	-24	15.8	14.6	1.15	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Trevor Ariza	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	2	-20	16.1	13.3	2.75	15.5	14.5	1.01

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	67	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-7	30	15.0	15.9	-0.94	16.0	13.6	2.43
John Salmons	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	0	16	15.1	16.0	-0.95	16.0	13.2	2.76
JJ Hickson	47	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-3	22	15.3	15.2	0.09	17.0	13.7	3.32
Charles Hayes	71	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	1	14	15.3	15.1	0.17	16.2	13.2	2.92
Tyreke Evans	73	74	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	8	0	15.1	15.9	-0.77	15.9	13.6	2.20
Travis Outlaw	21	23	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	11	-6	15.8	15.1	0.65	13.3	16.1	-2.81
Isaiah Thomas	10	9	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	18	-20	14.2	15.4	-1.18	11.9	15.8	-3.86
Donte Greene	1	1	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	16	-16	0.0	15.4	-15.42	3.0	15.5	-12.52
Jason Thompson	42	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	21	-26	16.0	14.7	1.30	13.9	16.6	-2.76
Jimmer Fredette	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	15	-14	15.5	15.0	0.46	13.8	16.7	-2.85
Francisco Garcia	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	16	-16	16.0	15.1	0.95	13.7	15.8	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 91, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%