NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	6.4 [535]		MVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): +13.0%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	1.6 [201]		LVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): -11.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	10	70%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	12	70%	0.15	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	16	58%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.13	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	16	50%	0.03	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	8	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	15	42%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	16	56%	0.05	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	25	52%	0.01	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.06
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	24.0	17.4	23.2	2.0	41.2	131.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +44.0%

SAC +5.0%

SAC +0.3%

SAC +1.2%

HOU -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	15.5	102.0	100.0	105.7
season	14.9	15.2		102.1	109.5
opponent	14.9	14.9		107.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	16.8	16.1	12.3	14.7
HOU	15.2	14.5	12.7	12.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-2	7	15.6	13.8	1.72	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Donte Greene	31	30	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-9	21	12.8	15.5	-2.70	14.9	13.1	1.73
DeMarcus Cousins	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	0	3	15.4	12.9	2.48	13.9	13.0	0.93
Beno Udrih	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	1	1	15.0	14.3	0.72	13.1	14.4	-1.38
Francisco Garcia	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	-5	13	14.9	14.5	0.45	14.6	12.7	1.95
Tyreke Evans	87	85	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.37	-4	7	-11	15.0	12.8	2.25	13.1	16.6	-3.46
Samuel Dalembert	74	72	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	5	-7	14.1	16.5	-2.41	13.9	13.0	0.92
Marcus Thornton	83	84	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.35	-9	12	-21	14.2	17.1	-2.87	13.3	15.2	-1.90

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	11	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	4	-11	18.3	13.1	5.18	15.3	14.6	0.70
Charles Hayes	83	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-6	9	13.3	15.3	-1.98	15.5	11.1	4.44
Patrick Patterson	28	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	15.4	13.0	2.36	15.0	14.6	0.45
Chase Budinger	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	0	-3	13.9	13.3	0.65	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Jordan Hill	15	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	6	-15	17.1	13.1	4.01	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Luis Scola	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-5	7	13.0	15.4	-2.36	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Kyle Lowry	90	90	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	13.1	18.3	-5.18	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Courtney Lee	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	13.1	14.4	-1.38	14.8	14.6	0.18
Kevin Martin	86	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-2	1	13.6	13.9	-0.25	14.1	18.1	-3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
SAC 110, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0	93.4%
SAS 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.4%