NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	4.0 [1073]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): +11.7%
New Orleans Hornets	81		Comeback	1.1 [746]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -10.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.02	7	87%	0.14	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.12	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	19	64%	0.15	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	13	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	33.7	15.0	28.1	1.8	27.0	129.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.7%

NOH -2.2%

MEM +13.7%

MEM +3.1%

MEM +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	18.7	15.4	15.5	110.7	95.3	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		106.1	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	17.2	18.6	22.9	18.7
NOH	16.8	14.7	14.1	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	67	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-11	34	18.8	18.3	0.48	16.4	11.4	5.09
Shane Battier	35	38	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	-1	14	17.4	19.6	-2.19	16.0	15.0	1.04
Marc Gasol	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-6	24	18.6	18.9	-0.33	16.0	13.8	2.22
Mike Conley	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	2	8	18.8	18.3	0.42	15.7	14.4	1.34
O.J. Mayo	28	29	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	3	6	20.1	17.9	2.20	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Tony Allen	62	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	6	0	18.6	19.0	-0.44	16.0	14.0	2.04
Darrell Arthur	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	16	-20	18.2	19.0	-0.84	13.5	16.5	-3.00
Greivis Vasquez	15	17	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	10	-8	18.3	18.8	-0.42	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Sam Young	43	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	16	-20	18.9	18.4	0.52	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Hamed Haddadi	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.18	-8	20	-28	21.3	18.5	2.86	8.8	15.9	-7.09
Leon Powe	3	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	17	-22	18.7	18.7	-0.01	13.2	15.5	-2.28

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing Jr.	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	5.3	15.8	-10.46	23.0	18.5	4.48
David Andersen	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-16	20	16.9	15.2	1.67	21.7	18.3	3.35
Quincy Pondexter	22	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-18	24	15.2	15.5	-0.26	22.3	17.5	4.82
Jason Smith	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-7	2	12.4	15.9	-3.50	15.9	19.1	-3.19
Aaron Gray	29	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-13	14	13.6	16.4	-2.79	19.3	18.4	0.86
Willie Green	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.6	15.4	0.19	19.3	18.4	0.86
Carl Landry	53	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-2	-8	16.8	13.1	3.69	18.6	18.8	-0.12
Jarrett Jack	41	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-7	2	15.1	15.7	-0.68	18.5	18.8	-0.33
Marco Belinelli	51	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-9	6	14.9	16.1	-1.21	18.0	19.8	-1.79
Chris Paul	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	0	-12	15.6	14.9	0.69	18.5	19.1	-0.62
Trevor Ariza	51	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	4	-20	15.7	15.0	0.66	17.6	20.4	-2.74
Emeka Okafor	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	3	-18	16.2	13.4	2.79	18.6	19.0	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 118, VAN 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 105, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
ORL 97, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%