NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	8.7 [149]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): +36.0%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	9.5 [121]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -12.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.10	0.01	13	70%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.06
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.05	0.04	11	65%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,-0.02	0.09	-0.13	-0.02	18	51%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	0.01	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	17	38%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.36	0.36	0.07	0.29	-0.00	19	59%	0.40	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	3	117%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	82%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	68%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.05
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	16	47%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	10	54%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	0%	-0.13
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	27.3	15.4	24.5	1.7	35.6	129.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +49.1%

PHX -5.8%

SAC +15.1%

PHX -10.6%

SAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	12.8	14.7	15.5	108.7	110.5	105.7
season	14.5	14.9		108.0	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	12.1	12.4	14.4	12.8
SAC	15.8	13.6	16.4	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	18	17	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-5	7	14.2	12.5	1.71	14.7	14.7	-0.04
Vince Carter	36	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-1	-1	13.2	12.6	0.59	13.7	15.3	-1.65
Robin Lopez	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	12.6	12.8	-0.25	12.3	15.1	-2.72
Josh Childress	40	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	2	-7	13.7	12.2	1.45	12.9	15.9	-3.02
Aaron Brooks	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	6	-15	13.6	12.5	1.08	12.8	15.5	-2.65
Steve Nash	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-9	15	12.5	13.6	-1.08	15.5	12.8	2.65
Grant Hill	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-7	11	12.1	14.0	-1.91	15.7	13.2	2.53
Jared Dudley	84	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	12.9	12.4	0.50	14.8	14.6	0.15
Channing Frye	77	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-2	1	12.4	13.9	-1.46	15.4	12.8	2.62
Marcin Gortat	84	85	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	3	-9	12.7	13.0	-0.30	15.1	13.3	1.72

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	57	56	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.46	16	-13	29	13.5	16.2	-2.74	13.7	11.7	2.04
Jason Thompson	76	74	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.34	18	-15	33	14.5	15.5	-1.02	13.4	11.3	2.17
DeMarcus Cousins	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.54	3	0	3	15.0	14.1	0.95	12.8	12.9	-0.17
Beno Udrih	92	91	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	14.7	15.3	-0.64	13.0	11.7	1.27
Omri Casspi	26	25	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	-3	9	13.5	15.2	-1.70	15.9	11.8	4.10
Donte Greene	49	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.13	6	-3	9	14.5	14.9	-0.40	13.4	12.3	1.09
Pooh Jeter	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	2	-1	15.4	14.7	0.69	8.7	13.0	-4.22
Marcus Thornton	77	78	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.27	-14	17	-31	15.5	12.7	2.81	11.7	16.0	-4.26
Francisco Garcia	40	41	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.05	-13	16	-29	15.6	14.2	1.34	11.3	13.8	-2.50
Samuel Dalembert	28	28	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	16	-29	15.8	14.4	1.42	10.9	13.5	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 81, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.55,0.42,1	91.1%
LAC 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.68,0.42,1	91.0%
UTA 96, NOP 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	90.7%