NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	3.8 [1110]		MVP	Donte Greene (SAC): +12.6%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.2 [366]		LVP	A.J. Price (IND): -11.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	83%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	11	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.01	0.06	9	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	17	53%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	37%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	7	53%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	22	34%	-0.09	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	6	73%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	9	55%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	9	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.01	4	-0.05	12	92%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	7	31%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	13	29%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	15	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	27.5	15.5	29.7	2.5	28.2	130.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +52.5%

IND -7.5%

SAC +6.6%

IND -1.4%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	15.5	106.8	91.2	105.7
season	14.9	14.7		102.1	103.1
opponent	15.4	14.9		104.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	12.0	13.9	17.2	14.4
IND	14.2	15.7	12.3	12.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	88	88	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	2	13	13.8	17.8	-4.00	13.2	16.9	-3.72
Jason Thompson	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	-1	19	14.8	13.9	0.92	15.0	12.1	2.95
Beno Udrih	84	82	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	8	1	14.4	14.3	0.14	13.6	14.0	-0.35
Francisco Garcia	71	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	4	9	14.2	14.7	-0.49	13.6	14.0	-0.38
DeMarcus Cousins	73	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	11	-5	14.3	14.5	-0.22	13.4	14.4	-1.05
Tyreke Evans	34	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	7	3	15.8	13.7	2.16	15.2	13.0	2.24
Samuel Dalembert	56	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	12	-7	13.9	15.0	-1.14	13.5	14.0	-0.44
Donte Greene	39	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	15	-13	14.6	14.2	0.42	12.9	14.3	-1.38
Darnell Jackson	6	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	14	-11	13.7	14.4	-0.76	14.7	13.6	1.12
Pooh Jeter	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	13	-9	16.6	14.2	2.35	12.9	13.8	-0.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	11.5	14.0	-2.53	13.9	14.4	-0.52
Paul George	54	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-18	19	12.5	15.1	-2.58	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Dahntay Jones	20	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-12	7	14.8	13.4	1.41	16.8	13.8	3.07
Jeff Foster	21	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	-5	-7	16.3	13.0	3.30	16.3	13.9	2.38
Darren Collison	63	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-15	13	12.7	15.4	-2.79	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Tyler Hansbrough	55	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-12	7	13.4	14.1	-0.76	13.2	15.8	-2.54
Josh McRoberts	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-5	-7	14.8	13.0	1.78	15.5	13.6	1.92
A.J. Price	39	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-2	-13	15.4	12.7	2.79	15.4	13.8	1.60
Roy Hibbert	70	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-10	3	13.3	14.7	-1.37	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Danny Granger	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-3	-11	13.7	13.6	0.10	13.8	15.7	-1.99
Brandon Rush	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-1	-15	14.0	13.3	0.68	14.6	14.0	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 106, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DEN 105, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
HOU 105, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%